La escuela de los momios

Venezia v Juve Stabia

Inicio: 2026-04-06 13:04 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Venezia (Local)

Predicción 65.78%1.52momio equitativo
EV -3.97%
Ventaja -2.72%
Kelly -8.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.04%65.73%65.77%68.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.411.401.4675.76%70.92%71.17%68.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Juve Stabia (Visitante)

Predicción 13.19%7.58momio equitativo
EV +6.94%
Ventaja +0.856%
Kelly +0.976%
Crecimiento +0.068%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.66%13.19%13.22%14.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.006.826.838.1116.67%14.65%14.65%12.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.04%4.75momio equitativo
EV -0.072%
Ventaja -0.015%
Kelly -0.019%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.90%21.09%21.01%22.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.254.204.7526.67%23.50%23.81%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.98%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%8.11I 12.33%NM 11.72%EV +6.94%E +0.856%K +0.976%G +0.068%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.30%EV -10.38%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 12:59
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -9.89%E -7.22%K -26.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV +5.49%E +0.686%K +0.784%G +0.043%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -3.23%E -0.702%K -0.896%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:00
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 66.87%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%7.95I 12.58%NM 12.11%EV +4.83%E +0.608%K +0.695%G +0.034%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.02%EV -3.65%E -0.796%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 12:59
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.46%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.27%EV +2.85%E +0.366%K +0.419%G +0.012%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.27%EV -5.33%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 13:00
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.46%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.27%EV +2.85%E +0.366%K +0.419%G +0.012%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.27%EV -5.33%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.25%EV -9.89%E -7.22%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.81%EV +2.85%E +0.366%K +0.419%G +0.012%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -7.43%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 12:59
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -1.10%E -0.147%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -5.33%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 12:58
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -1.10%E -0.147%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.072%E -0.015%K -0.019%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 13:00
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -1.10%E -0.147%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.33%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:00
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -12.52%E -9.41%K -37.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -1.10%E -0.147%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -5.33%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Codere (IT)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.78%EV -5.94%E -4.15%K -13.81%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.90%EV -2.42%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.32%EV -1.12%E -0.239%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.72%EV -4.40%E -0.607%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -9.54%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 12:53
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.72%EV -4.40%E -0.607%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -9.54%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 12:59
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -7.70%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.23%E -0.702%K -0.896%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 13:00
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -7.70%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -10.59%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 12:59
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -7.70%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.91%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:00
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 65.06%EV -7.26%E -5.15%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -7.70%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -11.64%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:59
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.70%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.64%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 12:59
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.70%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.64%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 12:59
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.70%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.64%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 12:59
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.70%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.64%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 12:59
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -10.54%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -7.70%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.64%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-06 13:00
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 67.01%EV -12.52%E -9.41%K -37.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -7.70%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -7.43%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 13:00
NetBet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 65.85%EV -13.18%E -9.98%K -41.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.42%EV -7.70%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-06 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 64.74%EV -12.52%E -9.41%K -37.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.30%EV -7.70%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.96%EV -21.11%E -5.63%K -7.68%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.64%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.41%EV -8.36%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -6.38%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 12:59
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 65.90%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.37%EV -9.02%E -1.31%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -6.38%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 12:59
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.90%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.37%EV -9.02%E -1.31%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -6.38%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 12:59
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.85%EV -5.94%E -4.15%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -10.99%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -8.91%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 13:00
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -10.99%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 12:59
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.53%EV -10.54%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.50%EV -12.97%E -1.97%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -10.59%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 12:58
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.53%EV -10.54%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.50%EV -12.97%E -1.97%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -10.59%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 13:00
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -14.29%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -5.33%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -5.94%E -4.15%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -14.29%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -11.64%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:00
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -14.29%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 13:00
Winamax (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -14.29%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.64%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.12%EV -3.97%E -2.72%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -15.61%E -2.44%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 13:00
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -4.62%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -15.61%E -2.44%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -4.62%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -15.61%E -2.44%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -4.62%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -15.61%E -2.44%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -4.62%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -15.61%E -2.44%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:00
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -4.62%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -15.61%E -2.44%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:51
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -4.62%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -15.61%E -2.44%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -4.62%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -15.61%E -2.44%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:00
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -4.62%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -15.61%E -2.44%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:00
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -4.62%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -15.61%E -2.44%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:00
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -17.59%E -2.81%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:00
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -17.59%E -2.81%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -17.59%E -2.81%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.75%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:00
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 63.04%EV -5.94%E -4.15%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -17.59%E -2.81%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-06 13:00
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.70%EV -8.57%E -6.17%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -17.59%E -2.81%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-06 13:00
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.13%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.49%EV -19.56%E -3.21%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.38%EV -16.90%E -4.28%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -20.88%E -3.48%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.64%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 12:59
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -20.88%E -3.48%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.64%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -20.88%E -3.48%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.64%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 13:00
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -10.54%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -20.88%E -3.48%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -11.64%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.46%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26%0.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.46%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26%0.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.61%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.23%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.16%1.2%2026-04-06 13:00
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.36%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%1.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Smarkets1.00I 100.00%NM 74.92%8.20I 12.20%NM 9.14%4.70I 21.28%NM 15.94%33.5%2026-04-06 13:00