Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

US Catanzaro 1929 v Spezia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 10:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

US Catanzaro 1929 (Local)

Prévision 43.14%2.32cote équitable
EV -4.66%
Avantage -2.11%
Kelly -3.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.90%43.12%43.20%44.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.122.102.2150.00%47.27%47.62%45.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Spezia (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.75%3.36cote équitable
EV -3.30%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -1.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.14%29.66%29.75%30.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.113.103.2535.71%32.11%32.26%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.11%3.69cote équitable
EV -2.41%
Avantage -0.671%
Kelly -0.928%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.24%27.22%27.04%28.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.333.303.6033.33%30.00%30.30%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : US Catanzaro 1929 (Local) : 43.14% ; Spezia (Visiteur) : 29.75% ; Match nul : 27.11%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.69. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.60, pour une espérance de -2.41% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Codere (IT)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.23%EV -4.66%E -2.11%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%EV -4.79%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.91%EV -3.77%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 19:39
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -2.41%E -0.671%K -0.928%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 14:40
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.28%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -4.79%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.97%EV -4.31%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 19:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.76%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.84%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 01:14
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.76%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:30
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.76%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.76%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.76%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.96%E -2.73%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.76%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 03:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.96%E -2.73%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.76%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 03:50
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.79%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 12:54
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.79%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 09:48
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 10:40
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.16%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.76%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 01:14
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.76%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.84%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 09:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.76%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.84%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 22:04
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -9.25%E -3.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.84%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 19:34
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -9.25%E -3.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.84%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 19:34
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.76%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 16:35
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.74%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.84%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 01:14
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.74%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.84%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 14:40
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.74%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 16:35
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.78%EV -7.68%E -3.59%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -3.30%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.39%EV -7.29%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 22:09
Bovada🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.11%EV -7.68%E -3.59%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.76%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -7.84%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 22:26
BetUS🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.11%EV -7.68%E -3.59%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.76%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -7.84%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 22:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.01%EV -8.55%E -4.03%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -3.30%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -7.29%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 22:05
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.76%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.84%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 12:54
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.76%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.84%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 12:54
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -7.17%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 22:08
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.74%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 12:54
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.74%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.74%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 09:30
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.74%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 09:30
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -10.27%E -4.94%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -3.30%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -10.27%E -4.94%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -3.30%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -10.27%E -4.94%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -3.30%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -10.27%E -4.94%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -3.30%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:10
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -10.27%E -4.94%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -3.30%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:10
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -10.27%E -4.94%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -3.30%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:10
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -10.27%E -4.94%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -3.30%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:10
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -10.27%E -4.94%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -3.30%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -10.27%E -4.94%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -3.30%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:10
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -10.27%E -4.94%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -3.30%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -10.27%E -4.94%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -3.30%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.79%EV -10.70%E -5.17%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -4.79%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.79%EV -10.70%E -5.17%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -4.79%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -11.57%E -5.64%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -12.23%E -4.14%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -7.84%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 19:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -11.57%E -5.64%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -10.74%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.84%EV -10.00%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 19:41
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.57%E -5.64%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.74%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 19:34
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -11.57%E -5.64%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -13.71%E -4.73%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-21 16:40
LeoVegas🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -12.00%E -5.88%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -4.79%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-20 00:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -13.72%E -6.86%K -13.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -7.76%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -14.61%E -4.64%K -6.80%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-20 00:09
NetBet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -13.72%E -6.86%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -12.23%E -4.14%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-23 22:03
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.92%EV -13.72%E -6.86%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -16.69%E -5.96%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-23 19:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.72%E -6.86%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -14.31%E -4.97%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -18.68%E -6.23%K -9.34%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-23 12:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 43.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.09%4.0%2026-04-23 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%4.4%2026-04-23 22:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%4.4%2026-04-23 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%4.4%2026-04-23 22:05
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%7.6%2026-04-23 23:50