L’École des cotes

US Catanzaro 1929 v Frosinone

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

US Catanzaro 1929 (Local)

Prévision 35.23%2.84cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.481%
Kelly -0.748%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.89%35.13%35.31%36.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.592.602.8042.55%38.66%38.46%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Frosinone (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.85%2.79cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.514%
Kelly -0.807%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.78%35.82%35.82%36.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.562.602.7543.48%39.04%38.46%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.92%3.46cote équitable
EV -3.13%
Avantage -0.934%
Kelly -1.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.11%29.05%28.88%31.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.173.203.3534.48%31.53%31.25%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.16%EV -1.35%E -0.481%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.78%EV -1.41%E -0.514%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%EV -10.94%E -3.55%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 13:54
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.16%EV -1.35%E -0.481%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.78%EV -1.41%E -0.514%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%EV -10.94%E -3.55%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 13:54
Pinnacle2.79I 35.84%NM 34.69%EV -1.70%E -0.609%K -0.949%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.45%EV -2.13%E -0.780%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV -6.31%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 13:54
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.87%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -5.00%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -4.57%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 13:39
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -4.87%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 08:29
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -4.87%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -8.58%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 13:54
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -4.87%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 13:45
Marathon Bet2.69I 37.17%NM 34.62%EV -5.22%E -1.94%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.54%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.84%EV -9.78%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 13:44
Bovada2.67I 37.45%NM 34.50%EV -5.93%E -2.22%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.29%EV -6.43%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -11.80%E -3.87%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 13:45
1xBet2.66I 37.59%NM 35.76%EV -6.28%E -2.36%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.76%EV -4.64%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -3.42%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 13:54
BetUS2.66I 37.59%NM 34.71%EV -6.28%E -2.36%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 13:54
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -6.63%E -2.50%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -5.00%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.13%E -0.934%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 09:09
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.63%E -2.50%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.00%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -4.57%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 12:05
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.63%E -2.50%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.00%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -4.57%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 10:04
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.63%E -2.50%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.57%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 09:09
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.63%E -2.50%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -8.58%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 08:39
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -7.69%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.99%EV -7.51%E -2.91%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 09:09
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -7.69%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.99%EV -7.51%E -2.91%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 09:09
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -7.69%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -8.58%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 08:30
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.69%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -13.25%E -4.42%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 13:39
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.69%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -13.25%E -4.42%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 13:38
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.69%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -13.25%E -4.42%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 13:39
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.69%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -13.25%E -4.42%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 13:39
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 13:39
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 12:04
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.17%E -4.97%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 08:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.17%E -4.97%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 08:29
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.17%E -4.97%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 08:39
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:14
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:14
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:14
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:14
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:14
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:14
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:15
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:15
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:14
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:14
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 13:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.58%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-25 16:30
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.58%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 12:04
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -8.58%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-01 13:39
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 35.33%EV -10.86%E -4.29%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -12.17%E -4.97%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.19%EV -8.33%E -2.63%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 13:39
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -11.92%E -4.77%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -8.58%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-25 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -11.92%E -4.77%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -8.58%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-25 16:29
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.92%E -4.77%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -4.57%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 09:09
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.92%E -4.77%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-26 11:30
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.92%E -4.77%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-01 12:04
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.92%E -4.77%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-01 12:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.92%E -4.77%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -13.96%E -5.82%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-01 13:39
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -11.92%E -4.77%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.95%EV -13.96%E -5.82%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.55%EV -15.56%E -5.33%K -8.11%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-01 10:04
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -13.68%E -5.58%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -13.96%E -5.82%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -8.91%E -2.83%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-01 09:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -15.44%E -6.43%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -17.55%E -7.63%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -13.25%E -4.42%K -6.62%G +0.000%18.5%2026-03-01 12:04
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.45%EV -16.14%E -6.78%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.45%EV -14.68%E -6.17%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.11%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-01 13:39
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 35.58%EV -17.20%E -7.32%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.58%EV -15.75%E -6.70%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.83%EV -16.14%E -5.57%K -8.50%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-01 13:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%0.5%2026-03-01 13:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%0.5%2026-03-01 13:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%0.5%2026-03-01 13:54
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%0.5%2026-03-01 13:54
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 35.02%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.71%2.0%2026-03-01 13:54