La escuela de los momios

US Catanzaro 1929 v Frosinone

Inicio: 2026-03-01 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

US Catanzaro 1929 (Local)

Predicción 35.23%2.84momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -0.481%
Kelly -0.748%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.89%35.13%35.31%36.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.592.602.8042.55%38.66%38.46%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Frosinone (Visitante)

Predicción 35.85%2.79momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.514%
Kelly -0.807%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.78%35.82%35.82%36.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.562.602.7543.48%39.04%38.46%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.92%3.46momio equitativo
EV -3.13%
Ventaja -0.934%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.11%29.05%28.88%31.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.173.203.3534.48%31.53%31.25%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.16%EV -1.35%E -0.481%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.78%EV -1.41%E -0.514%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%EV -10.94%E -3.55%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 13:54
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.16%EV -1.35%E -0.481%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.78%EV -1.41%E -0.514%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%EV -10.94%E -3.55%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 13:54
Pinnacle2.79I 35.84%NM 34.69%EV -1.70%E -0.609%K -0.949%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.45%EV -2.13%E -0.780%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV -6.31%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 13:54
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.87%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -5.00%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -4.57%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 13:39
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -4.87%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 08:29
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -4.87%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -8.58%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 13:54
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -4.87%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 13:45
Marathon Bet2.69I 37.17%NM 34.62%EV -5.22%E -1.94%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.54%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.84%EV -9.78%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 13:44
Bovada2.67I 37.45%NM 34.50%EV -5.93%E -2.22%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.29%EV -6.43%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -11.80%E -3.87%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 13:45
1xBet2.66I 37.59%NM 35.76%EV -6.28%E -2.36%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.76%EV -4.64%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -3.42%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 13:54
BetUS2.66I 37.59%NM 34.71%EV -6.28%E -2.36%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 13:54
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -6.63%E -2.50%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -5.00%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.13%E -0.934%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 09:09
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.63%E -2.50%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.00%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -4.57%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 12:05
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.63%E -2.50%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.00%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -4.57%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 10:04
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.63%E -2.50%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.57%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 09:09
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.63%E -2.50%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -8.58%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 08:39
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -7.69%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.99%EV -7.51%E -2.91%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 09:09
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -7.69%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.99%EV -7.51%E -2.91%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 09:09
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -7.69%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -8.58%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 08:30
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.69%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -13.25%E -4.42%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 13:39
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.69%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -13.25%E -4.42%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 13:38
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.69%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -13.25%E -4.42%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 13:39
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.69%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -13.25%E -4.42%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 13:39
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 13:39
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 12:04
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.17%E -4.97%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 08:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.17%E -4.97%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 08:29
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.17%E -4.97%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 08:39
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:14
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:14
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:14
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:14
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:14
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:14
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:15
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:15
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:14
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:14
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 13:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.58%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-25 16:30
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.58%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 12:04
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -8.58%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-01 13:39
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 35.33%EV -10.86%E -4.29%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -12.17%E -4.97%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.19%EV -8.33%E -2.63%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 13:39
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -11.92%E -4.77%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -8.58%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-25 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -11.92%E -4.77%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -8.58%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-25 16:29
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.92%E -4.77%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -4.57%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 09:09
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.92%E -4.77%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-26 11:30
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.92%E -4.77%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-01 12:04
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.92%E -4.77%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-01 12:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.92%E -4.77%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -13.96%E -5.82%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-01 13:39
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -11.92%E -4.77%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.95%EV -13.96%E -5.82%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.55%EV -15.56%E -5.33%K -8.11%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-01 10:04
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -13.68%E -5.58%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -13.96%E -5.82%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -8.91%E -2.83%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-01 09:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -15.44%E -6.43%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -17.55%E -7.63%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -13.25%E -4.42%K -6.62%G +0.000%18.5%2026-03-01 12:04
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.45%EV -16.14%E -6.78%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.45%EV -14.68%E -6.17%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.11%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-01 13:39
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 35.58%EV -17.20%E -7.32%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.58%EV -15.75%E -6.70%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.83%EV -16.14%E -5.57%K -8.50%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-01 13:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%0.5%2026-03-01 13:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%0.5%2026-03-01 13:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%0.5%2026-03-01 13:54
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%0.5%2026-03-01 13:54
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 35.02%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.71%2.0%2026-03-01 13:54