L’École des cotes

US Catanzaro 1929 v Bari

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 18:30 UTC

Score final : US Catanzaro 1929 2–3 Bari

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

US Catanzaro 1929 (Local)

Prévision 27.93%3.58cote équitable
EV +0.557%
Avantage +0.155%
Kelly +0.214%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.71%27.97%28.10%30.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.213.203.6034.48%31.12%31.25%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bari (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.59%2.40cote équitable
EV -3.51%
Avantage -1.51%
Kelly -2.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.12%41.64%41.54%42.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.212.232.3247.62%45.20%44.84%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.48%3.28cote équitable
EV +0.580%
Avantage +0.176%
Kelly +0.252%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.08%30.39%30.35%31.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.823.063.053.3035.46%32.67%32.79%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -14.81%E -4.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV +0.580%E +0.176%K +0.252%G +0.001%7.5%2026-05-08 17:25
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -14.81%E -4.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV +0.580%E +0.176%K +0.252%G +0.001%7.5%2026-05-08 17:25
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -14.81%E -4.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.55%EV -7.26%E -3.25%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV +0.580%E +0.176%K +0.252%G +0.001%7.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -14.81%E -4.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -7.26%E -3.25%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -0.944%E -0.290%K -0.420%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -14.81%E -4.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -7.26%E -3.25%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -0.944%E -0.290%K -0.420%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 17:34
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -14.81%E -4.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -7.26%E -3.25%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -0.944%E -0.290%K -0.420%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 17:34
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -14.81%E -4.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -7.26%E -3.25%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -0.944%E -0.290%K -0.420%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -14.81%E -4.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -7.26%E -3.25%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -0.944%E -0.290%K -0.420%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 17:34
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -14.81%E -4.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -7.26%E -3.25%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -0.944%E -0.290%K -0.420%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 17:34
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -14.81%E -4.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -7.26%E -3.25%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -0.944%E -0.290%K -0.420%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -16.20%E -5.40%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.50%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -0.944%E -0.290%K -0.420%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 17:25
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -16.20%E -5.40%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.50%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -2.47%E -0.771%K -1.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 17:34
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -16.20%E -5.40%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.50%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -2.47%E -0.771%K -1.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 17:34
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 30.48%EV -17.60%E -5.97%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.43%EV -9.75%E -4.49%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -2.47%E -0.771%K -1.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 17:34
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.55%EV -4.35%E -1.89%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -3.99%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 17:40
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -10.58%E -4.92%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -4.91%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:24
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.24%E -0.639%K -0.895%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 18:04
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.24%E -0.639%K -0.895%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -8.50%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 18:04
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 17:29
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 18:20
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -12.01%E -3.81%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -8.50%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-08 17:29
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.41%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.50%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:19
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.41%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.50%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:19
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.41%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.50%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:19
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.41%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.50%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:20
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -19.00%E -6.55%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.41%EV -11.83%E -5.58%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-08 17:34
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -2.24%E -0.639%K -0.895%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.04%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 18:04
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.04%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 18:20
Marathon Bet3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -6.71%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.66%EV -7.34%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:25
1xBet3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -1.12%E -0.316%K -0.441%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.83%EV -5.59%E -2.46%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.34%EV -7.65%E -2.52%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 18:19
Pinnacle3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%EV +0.557%E +0.155%K +0.214%G +0.001%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.45%EV -3.51%E -1.51%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.84%EV -7.95%E -2.63%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 18:20
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.24%E -0.639%K -0.895%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 18:23
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.50%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:39
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 17:30
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 17:34
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 18:04
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 18:20
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.41%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -12.66%E -6.03%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-08 18:14
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -5.18%E -2.27%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.56%EV -9.78%E -3.30%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:04
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -5.18%E -2.27%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.56%EV -9.78%E -3.30%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:05
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.09%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:25
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -8.50%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -10.09%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 18:20
Betclic (FR)3.18I 31.45%NM 28.11%EV -11.17%E -3.51%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -10.58%E -4.92%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -10.09%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-08 18:05
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -14.81%E -4.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.66%EV -12.66%E -6.03%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -10.09%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-08 17:29
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -7.26%E -3.25%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -11.61%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:24
BetUS3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -7.26%E -3.25%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -11.61%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:20
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.50%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.61%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:24
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -10.58%E -4.92%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.61%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 17:44
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -10.58%E -4.92%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.61%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 17:39
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -10.58%E -4.92%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.61%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 17:39
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -10.58%E -4.92%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.22%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 18:20
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -10.58%E -4.92%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -12.22%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-08 18:20
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -13.14%E -4.61%K -7.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 18:04
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -14.81%E -4.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -10.58%E -4.92%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.67%EV -13.14%E -4.61%K -7.10%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-08 18:19
NetBet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.33%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.65%EV -12.66%E -6.03%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.02%EV -14.05%E -4.98%K -7.72%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-08 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.16%0.3%2026-05-08 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.16%0.3%2026-05-08 18:25
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.16%0.3%2026-05-08 18:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-05-08 18:20
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-05-08 18:24