La escuela de los momios

US Catanzaro 1929 v Bari

Inicio: 2026-05-08 18:30 UTC

Final: US Catanzaro 1929 2–3 Bari

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

US Catanzaro 1929 (Local)

Predicción 27.93%3.58momio equitativo
EV +0.557%
Ventaja +0.155%
Kelly +0.214%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.71%27.97%28.10%30.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.213.203.6034.48%31.12%31.25%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bari (Visitante)

Predicción 41.59%2.40momio equitativo
EV -3.51%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -2.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.12%41.64%41.54%42.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.212.232.3247.62%45.20%44.84%43.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.48%3.28momio equitativo
EV +0.580%
Ventaja +0.176%
Kelly +0.252%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.08%30.39%30.35%31.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.823.063.053.3035.46%32.67%32.79%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -14.81%E -4.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV +0.580%E +0.176%K +0.252%G +0.001%7.5%2026-05-08 17:25
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -14.81%E -4.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV +0.580%E +0.176%K +0.252%G +0.001%7.5%2026-05-08 17:25
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -14.81%E -4.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.55%EV -7.26%E -3.25%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV +0.580%E +0.176%K +0.252%G +0.001%7.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -14.81%E -4.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -7.26%E -3.25%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -0.944%E -0.290%K -0.420%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -14.81%E -4.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -7.26%E -3.25%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -0.944%E -0.290%K -0.420%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 17:34
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -14.81%E -4.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -7.26%E -3.25%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -0.944%E -0.290%K -0.420%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 17:34
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -14.81%E -4.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -7.26%E -3.25%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -0.944%E -0.290%K -0.420%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -14.81%E -4.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -7.26%E -3.25%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -0.944%E -0.290%K -0.420%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 17:34
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -14.81%E -4.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -7.26%E -3.25%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -0.944%E -0.290%K -0.420%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 17:34
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -14.81%E -4.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -7.26%E -3.25%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -0.944%E -0.290%K -0.420%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -16.20%E -5.40%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.50%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -0.944%E -0.290%K -0.420%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 17:25
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -16.20%E -5.40%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.50%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -2.47%E -0.771%K -1.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 17:34
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -16.20%E -5.40%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.50%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -2.47%E -0.771%K -1.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 17:34
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 30.48%EV -17.60%E -5.97%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.43%EV -9.75%E -4.49%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -2.47%E -0.771%K -1.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 17:34
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.55%EV -4.35%E -1.89%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -3.99%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 17:40
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -10.58%E -4.92%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -4.91%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:24
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.24%E -0.639%K -0.895%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 18:04
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.24%E -0.639%K -0.895%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -8.50%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 18:04
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 17:29
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 18:20
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -12.01%E -3.81%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -8.50%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-08 17:29
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.41%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.50%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:19
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.41%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.50%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:19
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.41%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.50%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:19
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.41%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.50%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:20
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -19.00%E -6.55%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.41%EV -11.83%E -5.58%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-08 17:34
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -2.24%E -0.639%K -0.895%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.04%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 18:04
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.04%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 18:20
Marathon Bet3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -6.71%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.66%EV -7.34%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:25
1xBet3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -1.12%E -0.316%K -0.441%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.83%EV -5.59%E -2.46%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.34%EV -7.65%E -2.52%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 18:19
Pinnacle3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%EV +0.557%E +0.155%K +0.214%G +0.001%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.45%EV -3.51%E -1.51%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.84%EV -7.95%E -2.63%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 18:20
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.24%E -0.639%K -0.895%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 18:23
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.50%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:39
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 17:30
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 17:34
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 18:04
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 18:20
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.41%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -12.66%E -6.03%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-08 18:14
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -5.18%E -2.27%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.56%EV -9.78%E -3.30%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:04
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -5.18%E -2.27%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.56%EV -9.78%E -3.30%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:05
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.09%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:25
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -8.50%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -10.09%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 18:20
Betclic (FR)3.18I 31.45%NM 28.11%EV -11.17%E -3.51%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -10.58%E -4.92%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -10.09%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-08 18:05
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -14.81%E -4.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.66%EV -12.66%E -6.03%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -10.09%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-08 17:29
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -7.26%E -3.25%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -11.61%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:24
BetUS3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -7.26%E -3.25%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -11.61%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:20
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.50%E -3.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.61%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:24
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -10.58%E -4.92%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.61%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 17:44
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -10.58%E -4.92%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.61%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 17:39
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -10.58%E -4.92%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.61%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 17:39
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -10.58%E -4.92%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.22%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 18:20
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -10.58%E -4.92%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -12.22%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-08 18:20
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -6.43%E -2.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -13.14%E -4.61%K -7.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 18:04
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -14.81%E -4.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -10.58%E -4.92%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.67%EV -13.14%E -4.61%K -7.10%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-08 18:19
NetBet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.33%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.65%EV -12.66%E -6.03%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.02%EV -14.05%E -4.98%K -7.72%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-08 18:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.16%0.3%2026-05-08 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.16%0.3%2026-05-08 18:25
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.16%0.3%2026-05-08 18:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-05-08 18:20
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-05-08 18:24