Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.21
assuming max odds 4.07
assuming max odds 3.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Südtirol (Local): 44.39%; Virtus Entella (Visit): 24.44%; Draw: 31.17%. For Virtus Entella (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.07, with an expected value of -0.538%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.53%EV -1.90%E -0.860%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.64%EV -0.538%E -0.132%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.83%EV -8.66%E -2.96%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.09%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.69%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-22 12:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 13:33 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.52%EV -5.01%E -2.34%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV -5.91%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 12:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.99%EV -5.45%E -2.56%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.69%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.98%EV -8.66%E -2.96%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 13:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.75%EV -5.90%E -2.78%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -5.91%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 14:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.53%EV -5.90%E -2.78%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.09%EV -6.40%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -11.16%E -3.91%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 12:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.23%EV -6.34%E -3.00%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -4.69%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.85%EV -8.66%E -2.96%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 13:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.53%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -5.91%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 14:08 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.14%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 05:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.14%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 12:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.36%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 14:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -14.47%E -4.13%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -14.47%E -4.13%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 14:58 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.14%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 12:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.14%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 12:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.14%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 12:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.14%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 12:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -14.47%E -4.13%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 13:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -16.91%E -4.97%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.22%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 13:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -16.91%E -4.97%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.67%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-22 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -16.91%E -4.97%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.67%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -7.67%E -3.69%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.69%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -7.67%E -3.69%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.69%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -7.67%E -3.69%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.69%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.11%EV -7.67%E -3.69%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -8.36%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.42%EV -8.97%E -3.07%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 12:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.11%EV -7.67%E -3.69%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -8.36%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.42%EV -8.97%E -3.07%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 12:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -4.69%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-20 18:13 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.14%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 14:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.36%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 12:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.58%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 12:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 12:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -8.04%E -2.73%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-22 14:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -8.36%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -14.27%E -5.19%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 12:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -10.33%E -5.12%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 09:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -10.33%E -5.12%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 09:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -10.33%E -5.12%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -10.33%E -5.12%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 09:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -10.33%E -5.12%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 09:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -10.33%E -5.12%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 09:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -10.33%E -5.12%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 10:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -10.33%E -5.12%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 09:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -10.33%E -5.12%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 09:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -10.33%E -5.12%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -7.14%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-20 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -4.69%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-21 17:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -8.04%E -2.73%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 12:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.36%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 14:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 12:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-20 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.46%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -14.47%E -4.13%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -8.04%E -2.73%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 12:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.78%EV -11.67%E -5.86%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.54%EV -13.25%E -3.73%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.68%EV -14.27%E -5.19%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.14%EV -13.44%E -6.89%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -5.91%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -8.04%E -2.73%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-19 09:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.01%EV -14.33%E -7.42%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -7.14%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.62%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-19 09:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.14%EV -14.77%E -7.69%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -7.14%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-19 10:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.14%EV -14.77%E -7.69%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -7.14%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-19 09:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.13%EV -17.88%E -9.67%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.38%EV -10.80%E -2.96%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.48%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-08-19 09:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.03% | 0.7% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.03% | 0.7% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.03% | 0.7% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.61% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.83% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.56% | 2.4% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |