The School of Odds

Südtirol v Virtus Entella

2026-08-22 15:00 UTC — Serie B - Italy

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Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Südtirol (Local)

Prediction 46.40%2.16fair odd
EV -6.28%
Edge -3.11%
Kelly -6.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.14%46.40%46.16%47.23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.841.951.952.0254%51%51%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Virtus Entella (Visit)

Prediction 24.72%4.05fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.285%
Kelly -0.379%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.85%24.72%24.95%26.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.203.513.504.0031%28%29%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.89%3.46fair odd
EV -4.66%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.00%28.89%28.88%29.11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.973.113.103.3034%32%32%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.23%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 23:04
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-23 20:00
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-23 20:00
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-23 20:00
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-23 20:00
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.81%EV -8.60%E -4.37%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-23 20:00
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.50%E -3.86%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-23 19:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.50%E -3.86%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-23 20:00
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -11.39%E -5.96%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -18.44%E -5.59%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.67%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-23 22:30
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.69%EV -11.85%E -6.24%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -18.44%E -5.59%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.00%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-23 19:59
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 45.80%EV -13.71%E -7.37%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.81%EV -18.44%E -5.59%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.39%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.67%G +0.000%17.4%2026-07-23 19:59
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 45.43%EV -13.71%E -7.37%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -20.91%E -6.53%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.17%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.67%G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-23 20:00
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 46.04%EV -14.63%E -7.95%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 25.44%EV -17.70%E -5.31%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 28.52%EV -14.20%E -4.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%18.0%2026-07-23 20:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.