Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Südtirol v Virtus Entella

2026-08-22 15:00 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Südtirol (Local)

Prediction 45.79%2.18fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -3.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.53%45.80%45.79%47.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.971.952.1054.64%50.85%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Virtus Entella (Visit)

Prediction 23.55%4.25fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -0.837%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.47%23.56%23.55%25.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.433.883.954.1029.15%25.77%25.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.66%3.26fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -0.594%
Kelly -0.864%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.64%30.64%30.66%31.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.973.003.2036.36%33.63%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Südtirol (Local): 45.79%; Virtus Entella (Visit): 23.55%; Draw: 30.66%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.26. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.20, with an expected value of -1.90%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.42%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -9.32%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -1.90%E -0.594%K -0.864%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 08:45
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.32%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.38%EV -4.14%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.30%EV -6.81%E -2.24%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 08:46
Codere (IT)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.37%EV -5.67%E -2.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -3.43%E -0.837%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.33%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 20:05
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.49%EV -5.67%E -2.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.78%EV -7.20%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 12:50
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 08:44
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.64%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -6.97%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 20:22
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-11 02:39
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.03%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -8.14%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-10 22:14
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -15.21%E -4.22%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-12 17:08
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.14%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -11.71%E -4.07%K -6.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 09:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.14%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -11.71%E -4.07%K -6.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 09:35
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.14%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -11.71%E -4.07%K -6.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 09:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.14%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -11.71%E -4.07%K -6.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 09:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.73%EV -6.59%E -3.23%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -7.20%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 12:49
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -6.97%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.96%EV -8.65%E -2.90%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-10 10:55
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -6.97%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.96%EV -8.65%E -2.90%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-10 10:55
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-11 09:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-13 00:20
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.14%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-11 09:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 43.53%EV -9.33%E -4.71%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.13%EV -19.21%E -5.60%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.34%EV -15.70%E -5.71%K -8.97%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-08 08:35
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -10.71%E -5.49%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -11.10%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-11 09:53
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.17%EV -10.71%E -5.49%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -15.21%E -4.22%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -11.10%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-11 05:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.80%EV -11.62%E -6.02%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-11 20:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.78%EV -12.08%E -6.29%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -15.21%E -4.22%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-08 08:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 44.76%EV -12.08%E -6.29%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.21%EV -16.39%E -4.62%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.03%EV -15.08%E -5.45%K -8.52%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-11 22:44
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -12.54%E -6.56%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -15.21%E -4.22%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -14.16%E -5.06%K -7.87%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-11 09:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -13.00%E -6.84%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-04 16:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -13.00%E -6.84%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-04 16:30
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -13.00%E -6.84%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-04 16:49
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.56%EV -13.45%E -7.12%K -15.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-04 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.56%EV -13.45%E -7.12%K -15.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-04 16:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.56%EV -13.45%E -7.12%K -15.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-04 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.56%EV -13.45%E -7.12%K -15.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-04 16:15
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.56%EV -13.45%E -7.12%K -15.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-04 16:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.56%EV -13.45%E -7.12%K -15.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-04 16:29
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.56%EV -13.45%E -7.12%K -15.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-04 16:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.56%EV -13.45%E -7.12%K -15.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-04 16:34
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.56%EV -13.45%E -7.12%K -15.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-04 16:39
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.56%EV -13.45%E -7.12%K -15.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-04 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.92%EV -13.91%E -7.40%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.32%EV -16.39%E -4.62%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.77%EV -11.10%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-08 08:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.83%EV -13.91%E -7.40%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.93%EV -15.21%E -4.22%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.23%EV -12.63%E -4.43%K -6.83%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-08 08:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.80%EV -16.20%E -8.85%K -19.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.15%EV -12.85%E -3.47%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.05%EV -12.63%E -4.43%K -6.83%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-07 09:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 45.32%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.92%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.76%16.1%2026-08-12 17:10

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.