Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Südtirol v Virtus Entella

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 17:00 UTC

Score final : Südtirol 1–0 Virtus Entella

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Südtirol (Local)

Prévision 44.39%2.25cote équitable
EV -1.90%
Avantage -0.860%
Kelly -1.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.56%44.36%44.40%46.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.852.062.052.2154.05%48.66%48.78%45.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Virtus Entella (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.44%4.09cote équitable
EV -0.538%
Avantage -0.132%
Kelly -0.175%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.96%24.45%24.47%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.783.804.0729.41%26.45%26.32%24.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 31.17%3.21cote équitable
EV -3.36%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.90%31.19%31.13%32.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.963.003.1036.36%33.73%33.33%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Südtirol (Local) : 44.39% ; Virtus Entella (Visiteur) : 24.44% ; Match nul : 31.17%. Pour Virtus Entella (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.09. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.07, pour une espérance de -0.538% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.53%EV -1.90%E -0.860%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.64%EV -0.538%E -0.132%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.83%EV -8.66%E -2.96%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 13:50
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.09%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.69%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 12:19
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 13:33
Codere (IT)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.52%EV -5.01%E -2.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV -5.91%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 12:15
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.99%EV -5.45%E -2.56%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.69%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.98%EV -8.66%E -2.96%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 13:39
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.75%EV -5.90%E -2.78%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -5.91%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 14:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.53%EV -5.90%E -2.78%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.09%EV -6.40%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -11.16%E -3.91%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 12:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.23%EV -6.34%E -3.00%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -4.69%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.85%EV -8.66%E -2.96%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:34
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.53%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -5.91%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 14:08
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.14%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 05:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.14%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 12:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.36%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 14:09
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 15:00
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -14.47%E -4.13%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 14:55
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -14.47%E -4.13%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 14:58
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.14%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 12:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.14%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 12:10
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.14%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 12:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.14%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 12:09
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -14.47%E -4.13%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 13:34
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -16.91%E -4.97%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.22%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 13:34
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -16.91%E -4.97%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-22 13:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -16.91%E -4.97%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-22 13:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -7.67%E -3.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.69%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -7.67%E -3.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.69%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 15:05
BetUS🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -7.67%E -3.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.69%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 15:00
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.11%EV -7.67%E -3.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -8.36%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.42%EV -8.97%E -3.07%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 12:09
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.11%EV -7.67%E -3.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -8.36%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.42%EV -8.97%E -3.07%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 12:09
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -4.69%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-20 18:13
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.14%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 14:09
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.36%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 12:20
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.58%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -8.04%E -2.73%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 14:09
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -8.36%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -14.27%E -5.19%K -8.16%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 12:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -10.33%E -5.12%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 09:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -10.33%E -5.12%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 09:59
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -10.33%E -5.12%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 10:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -10.33%E -5.12%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 09:59
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -10.33%E -5.12%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 09:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -10.33%E -5.12%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 09:59
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -10.33%E -5.12%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 10:00
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -10.33%E -5.12%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 09:59
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -10.33%E -5.12%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 09:55
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -10.33%E -5.12%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -7.14%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-20 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -4.69%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-21 17:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.749%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -8.04%E -2.73%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 12:45
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.36%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 14:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 12:10
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-20 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.46%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -14.47%E -4.13%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -8.04%E -2.73%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 12:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 43.78%EV -11.67%E -5.86%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.54%EV -13.25%E -3.73%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.68%EV -14.27%E -5.19%K -8.16%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-22 15:00
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.14%EV -13.44%E -6.89%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -5.91%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -8.04%E -2.73%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-19 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.01%EV -14.33%E -7.42%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -7.14%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.62%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-19 09:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.14%EV -14.77%E -7.69%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -7.14%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-19 10:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.14%EV -14.77%E -7.69%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -7.14%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-19 09:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.13%EV -17.88%E -9.67%K -21.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.38%EV -10.80%E -2.96%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.48%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%17.2%2026-08-19 09:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.03%0.7%2026-08-22 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.03%0.7%2026-08-22 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.03%0.7%2026-08-22 15:00
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%1.2%2026-08-22 14:55
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 43.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.83%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.56%2.4%2026-08-22 15:20