Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Südtirol v Sampdoria

2026-10-24 13:00 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Südtirol (Local)

Prévision 37.59%2.66cote équitable
EV -6.03%
Avantage -2.41%
Kelly -4.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.01%37.65%37.51%39.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.422.452.5047.62%41.28%40.82%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sampdoria (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.52%3.07cote équitable
EV -4.06%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -2.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.90%32.51%32.51%33.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.792.802.9538.46%35.81%35.71%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.89%3.35cote équitable
EV -2.86%
Avantage -0.879%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.60%29.84%29.98%30.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.053.103.2534.72%32.74%32.26%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Südtirol (Local) : 37.59% ; Sampdoria (Visiteur) : 32.52% ; Match nul : 29.89%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.35. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 3.25, pour une espérance de -2.86% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.22%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.39%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -2.86%E -0.879%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 13:04
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.68%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 13:39
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.68%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 13:15
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.68%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 17:09
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -7.31%E -2.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.84%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -7.31%E -2.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.84%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:05
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -7.31%E -2.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.84%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -7.31%E -2.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.84%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:05
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -7.31%E -2.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.84%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:05
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -7.31%E -2.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.84%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -7.31%E -2.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.84%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:05
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -7.31%E -2.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.84%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -7.31%E -2.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.84%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.64%EV -7.16%E -2.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.85%EV -7.96%E -2.81%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -5.84%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:35
1xBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.64%EV -7.16%E -2.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.85%EV -7.96%E -2.81%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -5.84%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 14:00
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -5.68%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:08
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 13:15
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 13:15
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 13:15
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 13:40
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 13:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -9.79%E -4.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -7.31%E -2.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -9.79%E -4.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.33%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 15:00
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.79%E -4.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.31%E -2.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 13:05
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -9.79%E -4.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.84%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 13:05
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.79%E -4.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 13:05
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.79%E -4.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.56%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-17 13:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.79%E -4.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.19%E -4.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 13:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -9.79%E -4.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.56%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 13:40
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -9.79%E -4.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.56%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 13:39
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -9.79%E -4.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.56%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 13:40
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.54%E -4.43%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -10.54%E -4.43%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -12.19%E -4.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-17 13:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.20%EV -10.54%E -4.43%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -12.19%E -4.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -11.82%E -4.01%K -6.06%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-17 13:05
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.01%EV -10.54%E -4.43%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.62%EV -12.19%E -4.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-17 13:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14%EV -13.55%E -5.89%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -13.81%E -5.21%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -8.83%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-17 13:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.08%EV -13.55%E -5.89%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.44%EV -12.19%E -4.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.49%EV -11.23%E -3.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-17 13:04
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.81%EV -13.55%E -5.89%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -12.19%E -4.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.99%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-17 13:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.53%EV -13.55%E -5.89%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.20%EV -15.44%E -5.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.26%EV -11.82%E -4.01%K -6.06%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-17 13:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -13.55%E -5.89%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -15.44%E -5.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -13.92%E -4.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-17 13:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.50%EV -21.07%E -10.03%K -19.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.90%EV -15.44%E -5.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.60%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%20.6%2026-10-17 13:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 37.36%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.80%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.84%16.4%2026-10-17 13:25