L’École des cotes

Südtirol v Frosinone

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 14:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Südtirol (Local)

Prévision 31.00%3.23cote équitable
EV +1.05%
Avantage +0.323%
Kelly +0.465%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 3.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.24%30.96%31.04%33.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.912.883.2637.04%34.36%34.72%30.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Frosinone (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.85%2.51cote équitable
EV -2.76%
Avantage -1.13%
Kelly -1.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.49%39.83%39.79%42.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.312.312.4450.00%43.28%43.29%40.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.15%3.43cote équitable
EV -2.06%
Avantage -0.612%
Kelly -0.871%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.68%29.21%29.17%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.553.153.203.3639.22%31.70%31.25%29.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.26I 30.67%NM 29.72%EV +1.05%E +0.323%K +0.465%G +0.005%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.71%EV -2.76%E -1.13%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.57%EV -7.59%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 13:59
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -0.808%E -0.253%K -0.367%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -16.92%E -5.94%K -9.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 13:58
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -3.29%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.03%EV -7.14%E -3.07%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 13:59
Bovada3.12I 32.05%NM 29.49%EV -3.29%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.83%EV -7.94%E -3.44%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -12.55%E -4.18%K -6.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 13:58
BetUS3.12I 32.05%NM 29.49%EV -3.29%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.83%EV -7.94%E -3.44%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -12.55%E -4.18%K -6.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 13:59
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.72%E -2.10%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 14:00
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 14:00
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -18.38%E -6.56%K -10.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 14:00
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -19.84%E -7.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-22 14:00
BetOnline.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 30.89%EV -4.53%E -1.47%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -2.76%E -1.13%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.11%EV -7.89%E -2.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 14:00
LowVig.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 30.89%EV -4.53%E -1.47%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -2.76%E -1.13%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.11%EV -7.89%E -2.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 14:00
1xBet3.06I 32.68%NM 31.07%EV -5.15%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.63%EV -6.74%E -2.88%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.30%EV -2.06%E -0.612%K -0.871%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 13:59
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -5.46%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.87%EV -4.75%E -1.99%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 14:00
theScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -5.46%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -5.26%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 14:00
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -5.26%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 14:00
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.72%E -2.10%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 14:00
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.26%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 13:59
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 13:59
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.55%E -4.18%K -6.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 14:00
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -21.30%E -7.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-22 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -20.29%E -10.15%K -20.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -16.05%E -5.57%K -8.54%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-22 14:00
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -8.56%E -2.90%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.72%E -2.10%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 13:58
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -8.56%E -2.90%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.06%EV -13.42%E -4.52%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 13:58
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.53%EV -9.49%E -3.25%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.69%EV -7.54%E -3.25%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -6.72%E -2.10%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 14:00
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.53%EV -9.49%E -3.25%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.69%EV -7.54%E -3.25%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -6.72%E -2.10%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -10.11%E -3.49%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 13:59
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.73%E -3.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 13:59
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.73%E -3.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.04%E -3.85%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 13:59
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.04%E -3.85%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 14:00
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -11.66%E -4.09%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 13:59
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -11.66%E -4.09%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -5.26%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 14:00
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.67%EV -11.66%E -4.09%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -14.32%E -6.66%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -11.09%E -3.64%K -5.41%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-22 14:00
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 28.51%EV -11.66%E -4.09%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 39.63%EV -18.30%E -8.93%K -17.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 31.86%EV -25.67%E -10.07%K -16.56%G +0.000%23.1%2026-03-22 14:00
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -13.21%E -4.72%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.26%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 13:59
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -13.21%E -4.72%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.26%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 13:59
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -13.21%E -4.72%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.26%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -13.21%E -4.72%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.26%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 13:59
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -13.21%E -4.72%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -6.72%E -2.10%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 13:59
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -13.21%E -4.72%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -12.32%E -5.60%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -12.55%E -4.18%K -6.28%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-22 13:59
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 14:00
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 14:00
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 14:00
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 13:57
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 13:59
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 14:00
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 14:00
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 14:00
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -5.26%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -5.26%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 14:00
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -5.26%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 14:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.03%EV -12.32%E -5.60%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-22 14:00
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.25%EV -16.31%E -6.04%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.70%EV -7.54%E -3.25%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -6.72%E -2.10%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%0.8%2026-03-22 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%0.8%2026-03-22 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%0.8%2026-03-22 14:00
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.48%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.14%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-03-22 14:00
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.38%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.28%1.6%2026-03-22 14:00