La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Südtirol v Frosinone
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Südtirol (Local)
Predicción 31.00%3.23momio equitativo
EV +1.05%
Ventaja +0.323%
Kelly +0.465%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.24%30.96%31.04%33.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.912.883.2637.04%34.36%34.72%30.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Frosinone (Visitante)
Predicción 39.85%2.51momio equitativo
EV -2.76%
Ventaja -1.13%
Kelly -1.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.49%39.83%39.79%42.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.312.312.4450.00%43.28%43.29%40.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.15%3.43momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -0.612%
Kelly -0.871%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.68%29.21%29.17%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.553.153.203.3639.22%31.70%31.25%29.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.72%EV +1.05%E +0.323%K +0.465%G +0.005% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.71%EV -2.76%E -1.13%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.57%EV -7.59%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -0.808%E -0.253%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -16.92%E -5.94%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-22 13:58 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -3.29%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.03%EV -7.14%E -3.07%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| Bovada | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.49%EV -3.29%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.83%EV -7.94%E -3.44%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -12.55%E -4.18%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 13:58 |
| BetUS | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.49%EV -3.29%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.83%EV -7.94%E -3.44%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -12.55%E -4.18%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| DraftKings | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.72%E -2.10%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -18.38%E -6.56%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -19.84%E -7.21%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.89%EV -4.53%E -1.47%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -2.76%E -1.13%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.11%EV -7.89%E -2.50%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.89%EV -4.53%E -1.47%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -2.76%E -1.13%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.11%EV -7.89%E -2.50%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| 1xBet | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.07%EV -5.15%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.63%EV -6.74%E -2.88%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.30%EV -2.06%E -0.612%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -5.46%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.87%EV -4.75%E -1.99%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| theScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -5.46%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -5.26%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -5.26%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.72%E -2.10%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.26%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.55%E -4.18%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -21.30%E -7.89%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -20.29%E -10.15%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -16.05%E -5.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -8.56%E -2.90%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.72%E -2.10%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 13:58 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -8.56%E -2.90%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.06%EV -13.42%E -4.52%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-22 13:58 |
| Betsson | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.53%EV -9.49%E -3.25%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.69%EV -7.54%E -3.25%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -6.72%E -2.10%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.53%EV -9.49%E -3.25%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.69%EV -7.54%E -3.25%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -6.72%E -2.10%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -10.11%E -3.49%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.73%E -3.72%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| Neds | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.73%E -3.72%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.04%E -3.85%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.04%E -3.85%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -11.66%E -4.09%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -11.66%E -4.09%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -5.26%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.67%EV -11.66%E -4.09%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -14.32%E -6.66%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -11.09%E -3.64%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 28.51%EV -11.66%E -4.09%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 39.63%EV -18.30%E -8.93%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 31.86%EV -25.67%E -10.07%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 23.1% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| 888sport | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -13.21%E -4.72%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.26%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| William Hill | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -13.21%E -4.72%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.26%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -13.21%E -4.72%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.26%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -13.21%E -4.72%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.26%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -13.21%E -4.72%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -6.72%E -2.10%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -13.21%E -4.72%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -12.32%E -5.60%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -12.55%E -4.18%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 13:57 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -5.26%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -5.26%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -5.26%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -14.76%E -5.37%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.03%EV -12.32%E -5.60%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.25%EV -16.31%E -6.04%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.70%EV -7.54%E -3.25%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -6.72%E -2.10%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.32% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52% | 0.8% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.32% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52% | 0.8% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.32% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52% | 0.8% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.48% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.14% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.38% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.28% | 1.6% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |