La scuola delle quote

Spezia v Südtirol

Inizio: 2026-04-18 13:00 UTC

Finale: Spezia 6–1 Südtirol

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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56 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Spezia (Casa)

Previsione 40.90%2.45quota equa
EV -3.48%
Vantaggio -1.47%
Kelly -2.56%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.14%40.87%40.97%42.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.272.302.3647.62%44.05%43.48%42.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Südtirol (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.70%3.37quota equa
EV -0.817%
Vantaggio -0.245%
Kelly -0.349%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.34

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.88%29.74%29.59%31.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.043.003.3435.71%32.89%33.33%29.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.41%3.40quota equa
EV -2.96%
Vantaggio -0.898%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.21%29.40%29.44%31.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.103.103.3035.71%32.31%32.26%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 41.07%EV -3.48%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.02%EV -0.817%E -0.245%K -0.349%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.91%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 12:40
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -2.96%E -0.898%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 12:39
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 12:30
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:50
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:50
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:50
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:50
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:49
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:50
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:50
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:50
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:49
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.14%EV -4.70%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 12:50
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 12:39
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 12:40
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 12:50
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 12:50
Codere (IT)2.31I 43.29%NM 41.11%EV -5.52%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:49
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 12:39
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 12:40
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 12:49
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 12:30
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 12:40
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 12:30
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 12:30
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 12:39
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -14.48%E -5.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 12:39
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -14.48%E -5.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-18 12:49
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.51%EV -6.34%E -2.77%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -3.49%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 12:50
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.29%EV -7.57%E -3.35%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -3.79%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.91%EV -8.26%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 12:50
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 12:50
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -2.00%E -0.608%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 12:50
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 12:50
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 12:49
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 12:40
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 12:50
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 12:40
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 12:40
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 12:40
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 39.37%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -16.85%E -6.02%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 12:50
Bovada2.22I 45.05%NM 41.45%EV -9.20%E -4.15%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -2.00%E -0.608%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:50
BetUS2.22I 45.05%NM 41.45%EV -9.20%E -4.15%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -2.00%E -0.608%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:49
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 12:50
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 12:50
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 12:49
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -12.07%E -5.61%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 12:50
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.69%EV -12.07%E -5.61%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -9.43%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.50%EV -12.07%E -5.61%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.44%EV -10.02%E -3.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.06%EV -9.73%E -3.17%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 12:48
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.07%E -5.61%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-18 12:40
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -12.07%E -5.61%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-18 12:50
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-18 12:50
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.45%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.54%EV -9.43%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-18 12:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -14.48%E -5.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -17.67%E -6.31%K -9.81%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-18 12:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-04-18 12:50
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%0.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%0.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%0.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 42.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-04-18 12:50