مدرسة الاحتمالات

Spezia v Südtirol

البداية: 2026-04-18 13:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Spezia 6–1 Südtirol

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Spezia (المضيف)

التنبؤ 40.90%2.45السعر العادل
EV -3.48%
الأفضلية -1.47%
Kelly -2.56%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.36

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.14%40.87%40.97%42.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.272.302.3647.62%44.05%43.48%42.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Südtirol (الضيف)

التنبؤ 29.70%3.37السعر العادل
EV -0.817%
الأفضلية -0.245%
Kelly -0.349%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.34

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.88%29.74%29.59%31.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.043.003.3435.71%32.89%33.33%29.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.41%3.40السعر العادل
EV -2.96%
الأفضلية -0.898%
Kelly -1.29%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.21%29.40%29.44%31.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.103.103.3035.71%32.31%32.26%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 41.07%EV -3.48%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.02%EV -0.817%E -0.245%K -0.349%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.91%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 12:40
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -2.96%E -0.898%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 12:39
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 12:30
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:50
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:50
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:50
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:50
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:49
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:50
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:50
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:50
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:49
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.14%EV -4.70%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 12:50
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 12:39
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 12:40
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 12:50
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 12:50
Codere (IT)2.31I 43.29%NM 41.11%EV -5.52%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:49
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 12:39
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 12:40
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 12:49
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 12:30
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 12:40
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 12:30
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 12:30
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 12:39
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -14.48%E -5.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 12:39
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -14.48%E -5.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-18 12:49
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.51%EV -6.34%E -2.77%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -3.49%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 12:50
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.29%EV -7.57%E -3.35%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -3.79%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.91%EV -8.26%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 12:50
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 12:50
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -2.00%E -0.608%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 12:50
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 12:50
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 12:49
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 12:40
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 12:50
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 12:40
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 12:40
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 12:40
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 39.37%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -16.85%E -6.02%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 12:50
Bovada2.22I 45.05%NM 41.45%EV -9.20%E -4.15%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -2.00%E -0.608%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:50
BetUS2.22I 45.05%NM 41.45%EV -9.20%E -4.15%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -2.00%E -0.608%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:49
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 12:50
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 12:50
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 12:49
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -12.07%E -5.61%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 12:50
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.69%EV -12.07%E -5.61%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -9.43%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.50%EV -12.07%E -5.61%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.44%EV -10.02%E -3.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.06%EV -9.73%E -3.17%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 12:48
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.07%E -5.61%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-18 12:40
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -12.07%E -5.61%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-18 12:50
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-18 12:50
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.45%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.54%EV -9.43%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-18 12:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -14.48%E -5.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -17.67%E -6.31%K -9.81%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-18 12:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-04-18 12:50
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%0.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%0.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%0.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 42.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-04-18 12:50