La scuola delle quote

Spezia v Mantova

Inizio: 2026-04-12 15:15 UTC

Finale: Spezia 0–2 Mantova

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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56 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Spezia (Casa)

Previsione 40.48%2.47quota equa
EV -1.63%
Vantaggio -0.673%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.25%40.35%40.52%42.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.082.252.292.4348.08%44.38%43.57%41.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Mantova (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.55%3.38quota equa
EV -1.31%
Vantaggio -0.391%
Kelly -0.558%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.34

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.60%29.69%29.54%31.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.073.103.3437.04%32.56%32.26%29.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.97%3.34quota equa
EV -2.29%
Vantaggio -0.703%
Kelly -1.01%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.26

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.05%29.96%29.94%32.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.083.103.2637.04%32.47%32.26%30.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 39.86%EV -1.63%E -0.673%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.00%EV -1.31%E -0.391%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.14%EV -6.79%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 15:10
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -4.87%E -2.07%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 15:00
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -4.87%E -2.07%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 15:00
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -4.87%E -2.07%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 12:00
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -4.87%E -2.07%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -14.58%E -5.12%K -7.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:30
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -4.87%E -2.07%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -13.08%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 15:09
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 38.95%EV -5.28%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -13.68%E -4.75%K -7.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 15:09
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 38.95%EV -5.28%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -13.68%E -4.75%K -7.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 15:10
Codere (IT)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.00%EV -6.09%E -2.62%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 11:30
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -6.09%E -2.62%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -8.89%E -2.92%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 15:09
BetUS2.31I 43.29%NM 39.92%EV -6.49%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.26%EV -11.58%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 15:10
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.58%EV -5.15%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -2.29%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 15:00
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 11:28
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 15:10
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 15:00
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:29
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 15:00
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 15:00
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 14:29
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.31%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 14:30
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.31%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 14:30
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.31%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 14:30
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.31%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 14:30
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -13.08%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 15:00
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -13.08%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -13.08%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 15:00
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -16.08%E -5.74%K -8.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -19.08%E -7.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 15:10
Bovada2.29I 43.67%NM 40.24%EV -7.30%E -3.19%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -7.81%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 15:05
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.92%E -3.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 11:30
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.92%E -3.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 11:29
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.92%E -3.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -14.31%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -8.92%E -3.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -12.83%E -4.35%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 15:00
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -8.92%E -3.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -19.08%E -7.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -8.92%E -3.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -20.22%E -7.49%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -13.68%E -4.75%K -7.28%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-12 15:10
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.95%E -4.98%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 11:30
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -11.75%E -5.39%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:30
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -11.75%E -5.39%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:30
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -11.75%E -5.39%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:30
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -11.75%E -5.39%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -11.75%E -5.39%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:30
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -11.75%E -5.39%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -11.75%E -5.39%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:30
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -11.75%E -5.39%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:30
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -11.75%E -5.39%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:30
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -11.75%E -5.39%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.24%EV -12.16%E -5.60%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 14:30
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.23%EV -12.16%E -5.60%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.14%EV -9.28%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.63%EV -9.49%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-12 14:51
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.16%EV -12.56%E -5.82%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:30
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.16%EV -12.56%E -5.82%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.69%EV -12.97%E -6.03%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-12 11:29
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.89%EV -12.97%E -6.03%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -12.83%E -4.35%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 11:30
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -12.97%E -6.03%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -13.08%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-12 11:00
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.48%EV -12.97%E -6.03%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -12.83%E -4.35%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -13.08%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-12 15:00
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -13.37%E -6.25%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 14:30
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.30%EV -15.80%E -7.60%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-04-12 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-04-12 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-04-12 15:10
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-04-12 15:10
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.05%2.2%2026-04-12 15:10