مدرسة الاحتمالات

Spezia v Mantova

البداية: 2026-04-12 15:15 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Spezia 0–2 Mantova

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Spezia (المضيف)

التنبؤ 40.48%2.47السعر العادل
EV -1.63%
الأفضلية -0.673%
Kelly -1.14%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.25%40.35%40.52%42.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.082.252.292.4348.08%44.38%43.57%41.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Mantova (الضيف)

التنبؤ 29.55%3.38السعر العادل
EV -1.31%
الأفضلية -0.391%
Kelly -0.558%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.34

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.60%29.69%29.54%31.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.703.073.103.3437.04%32.56%32.26%29.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.97%3.34السعر العادل
EV -2.29%
الأفضلية -0.703%
Kelly -1.01%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.26

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.05%29.96%29.94%32.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.703.083.103.2637.04%32.47%32.26%30.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 39.86%EV -1.63%E -0.673%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.00%EV -1.31%E -0.391%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.14%EV -6.79%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 15:10
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -4.87%E -2.07%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 15:00
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -4.87%E -2.07%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 15:00
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -4.87%E -2.07%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 12:00
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -4.87%E -2.07%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -14.58%E -5.12%K -7.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:30
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -4.87%E -2.07%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -13.08%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 15:09
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 38.95%EV -5.28%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -13.68%E -4.75%K -7.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 15:09
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 38.95%EV -5.28%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -13.68%E -4.75%K -7.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 15:10
Codere (IT)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.00%EV -6.09%E -2.62%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 11:30
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -6.09%E -2.62%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -8.89%E -2.92%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 15:09
BetUS2.31I 43.29%NM 39.92%EV -6.49%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.26%EV -11.58%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 15:10
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.58%EV -5.15%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -2.29%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 15:00
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 11:28
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 15:10
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 15:00
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:29
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 15:00
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 15:00
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 14:29
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.31%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 14:30
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.31%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 14:30
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.31%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 14:30
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.31%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 14:30
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -13.08%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 15:00
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -13.08%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -13.08%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 15:00
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -16.08%E -5.74%K -8.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -19.08%E -7.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 15:10
Bovada2.29I 43.67%NM 40.24%EV -7.30%E -3.19%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -7.81%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 15:05
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.92%E -3.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 11:30
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.92%E -3.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 11:29
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.92%E -3.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -14.31%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -8.92%E -3.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -12.83%E -4.35%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 15:00
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -8.92%E -3.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -19.08%E -7.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -8.92%E -3.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -20.22%E -7.49%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -13.68%E -4.75%K -7.28%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-12 15:10
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.95%E -4.98%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 11:30
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -11.75%E -5.39%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:30
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -11.75%E -5.39%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:30
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -11.75%E -5.39%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:30
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -11.75%E -5.39%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -11.75%E -5.39%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:30
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -11.75%E -5.39%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -11.75%E -5.39%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:30
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -11.75%E -5.39%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:30
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -11.75%E -5.39%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:30
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -11.75%E -5.39%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.24%EV -12.16%E -5.60%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 14:30
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.23%EV -12.16%E -5.60%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.14%EV -9.28%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.63%EV -9.49%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-12 14:51
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.16%EV -12.56%E -5.82%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:30
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.16%EV -12.56%E -5.82%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.69%EV -12.97%E -6.03%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-12 11:29
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.89%EV -12.97%E -6.03%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -12.83%E -4.35%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 11:30
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -12.97%E -6.03%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -13.08%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-12 11:00
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.48%EV -12.97%E -6.03%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -12.83%E -4.35%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -13.08%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-12 15:00
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -13.37%E -6.25%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 14:30
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.30%EV -15.80%E -7.60%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 14:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-04-12 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-04-12 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-04-12 15:10
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-04-12 15:10
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.05%2.2%2026-04-12 15:10