A Escola das Odds

Sampdoria v Empoli

Início: 2026-04-06 15:17 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sampdoria (Local)

Previsão 39.51%2.53odd justa
EV +0.739%
Vantagem +0.290%
Kelly +0.477%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.15%39.48%39.59%42.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.302.302.5547.62%43.41%43.48%39.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empoli (Visitante)

Previsão 29.49%3.39odd justa
EV -1.22%
Vantagem -0.366%
Kelly -0.521%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.39%29.48%29.52%31.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.123.153.3535.71%32.05%31.75%29.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 31.01%3.22odd justa
EV -2.32%
Vantagem -0.737%
Kelly -1.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.31%31.04%30.89%33.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.752.973.003.1536.36%33.63%33.33%31.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.23%EV +0.739%E +0.290%K +0.477%G +0.004%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.13%EV -10.07%E -3.30%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 15:14
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.15%EV -0.446%E -0.177%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -1.22%E -0.366%K -0.521%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.15%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 15:15
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.15%EV -0.446%E -0.177%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -1.22%E -0.366%K -0.521%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.15%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 15:15
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.45%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%EV -1.22%E -0.366%K -0.521%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%EV -5.42%E -1.78%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-06 15:14
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -8.52%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 15:15
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -13.17%E -4.70%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 15:15
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -13.17%E -4.70%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 15:14
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -13.17%E -4.70%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 15:14
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -13.17%E -4.70%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 15:14
Marathon Bet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -4.79%E -1.99%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.50%EV -6.83%E -2.16%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -9.14%E -3.12%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 15:14
BetUS2.41I 41.49%NM 38.26%EV -4.79%E -1.99%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -13.17%E -4.70%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 15:14
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.81%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.33%EV -2.32%E -0.737%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 15:13
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 15:14
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -2.70%E -0.818%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -8.52%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 15:14
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 15:14
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -13.17%E -4.70%K -7.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 15:15
Codere (IT)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -5.98%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 15:14
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -5.98%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -5.42%E -1.78%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 15:15
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.98%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.60%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.69%E -3.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:14
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -11.62%E -4.08%K -6.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 15:15
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -8.35%E -3.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 15:14
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -8.35%E -3.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 15:14
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.60%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 15:14
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.12%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.49%EV -9.14%E -3.12%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 15:09
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.07%E -3.30%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -5.42%E -1.78%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 15:14
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.68%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.80%EV -11.00%E -3.83%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 15:14
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 15:13
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 15:14
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.60%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.17%E -4.70%K -7.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 15:14
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -15.08%E -5.24%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-06 15:14
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.54%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.89%EV -15.38%E -5.36%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.57%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-06 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.54%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.89%EV -15.38%E -5.36%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.57%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-06 15:15
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -11.11%E -4.94%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 15:14
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -11.11%E -4.94%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.60%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -14.72%E -5.35%K -8.41%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-06 15:14
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -11.11%E -4.94%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -14.49%E -5.00%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -13.17%E -4.70%K -7.32%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-06 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.14%EV -11.11%E -4.94%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -17.44%E -6.23%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -14.72%E -5.35%K -8.41%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-06 15:14
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.31%EV -12.30%E -5.54%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.15%EV -9.48%E -3.09%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.54%EV -9.14%E -3.12%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-06 15:13
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:15
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:13
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:14
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:15
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:15
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:14
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:14
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:15
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:14
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:15
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.60%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 15:15
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.73%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -8.60%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -8.52%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-06 15:14
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.59%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -13.02%E -4.41%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.89%EV -12.55%E -4.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-06 15:15
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.05%EV -14.27%E -6.58%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 15:15
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.05%EV -14.27%E -6.58%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 15:15
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -15.06%E -7.01%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -5.42%E -1.78%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 15:15
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -15.06%E -7.01%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-06 15:15
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -17.04%E -8.11%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -10.07%E -3.30%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-06 15:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%0.5%2026-04-06 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%0.5%2026-04-06 15:15
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%0.5%2026-04-06 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-04-06 15:15
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.89%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.8%2026-04-06 15:15