L’École des cotes

Sampdoria v Empoli

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 15:17 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sampdoria (Local)

Prévision 39.51%2.53cote équitable
EV +0.739%
Avantage +0.290%
Kelly +0.477%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.15%39.48%39.59%42.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.302.302.5547.62%43.41%43.48%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Empoli (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.49%3.39cote équitable
EV -1.22%
Avantage -0.366%
Kelly -0.521%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.39%29.48%29.52%31.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.123.153.3535.71%32.05%31.75%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.01%3.22cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -0.737%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.31%31.04%30.89%33.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.973.003.1536.36%33.63%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.23%EV +0.739%E +0.290%K +0.477%G +0.004%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.13%EV -10.07%E -3.30%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 15:14
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.15%EV -0.446%E -0.177%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -1.22%E -0.366%K -0.521%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.15%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 15:15
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.15%EV -0.446%E -0.177%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -1.22%E -0.366%K -0.521%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.15%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 15:15
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.45%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%EV -1.22%E -0.366%K -0.521%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%EV -5.42%E -1.78%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-06 15:14
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -8.52%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 15:15
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -13.17%E -4.70%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 15:15
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -13.17%E -4.70%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 15:14
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -13.17%E -4.70%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 15:14
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -13.17%E -4.70%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 15:14
Marathon Bet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -4.79%E -1.99%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.50%EV -6.83%E -2.16%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -9.14%E -3.12%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 15:14
BetUS2.41I 41.49%NM 38.26%EV -4.79%E -1.99%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -13.17%E -4.70%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 15:14
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.81%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.33%EV -2.32%E -0.737%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 15:13
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 15:14
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -2.70%E -0.818%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -8.52%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 15:14
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 15:14
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -13.17%E -4.70%K -7.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 15:15
Codere (IT)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -5.98%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 15:14
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -5.98%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -5.42%E -1.78%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 15:15
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.98%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.60%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.69%E -3.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:14
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -11.62%E -4.08%K -6.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 15:15
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -8.35%E -3.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 15:14
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -8.35%E -3.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 15:14
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.60%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 15:14
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.12%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.49%EV -9.14%E -3.12%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 15:09
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.07%E -3.30%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -5.42%E -1.78%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 15:14
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.68%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.80%EV -11.00%E -3.83%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 15:14
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 15:13
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 15:14
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.60%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.17%E -4.70%K -7.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 15:14
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -15.08%E -5.24%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-06 15:14
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.54%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.89%EV -15.38%E -5.36%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.57%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-06 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.54%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.89%EV -15.38%E -5.36%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.57%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-06 15:15
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -11.11%E -4.94%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 15:14
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -11.11%E -4.94%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.60%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -14.72%E -5.35%K -8.41%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-06 15:14
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -11.11%E -4.94%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -14.49%E -5.00%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -13.17%E -4.70%K -7.32%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-06 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.14%EV -11.11%E -4.94%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -17.44%E -6.23%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -14.72%E -5.35%K -8.41%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-06 15:14
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.31%EV -12.30%E -5.54%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.15%EV -9.48%E -3.09%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.54%EV -9.14%E -3.12%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-06 15:13
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:15
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:13
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:14
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:15
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:15
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:14
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:14
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:15
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:14
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:15
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.60%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 15:15
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.73%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -8.60%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -8.52%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-06 15:14
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.59%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -13.02%E -4.41%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.89%EV -12.55%E -4.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-06 15:15
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.05%EV -14.27%E -6.58%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 15:15
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.05%EV -14.27%E -6.58%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 15:15
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -15.06%E -7.01%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -5.42%E -1.78%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 15:15
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -15.06%E -7.01%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-06 15:15
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -17.04%E -8.11%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -10.07%E -3.30%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-06 15:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%0.5%2026-04-06 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%0.5%2026-04-06 15:15
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%0.5%2026-04-06 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-04-06 15:15
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.89%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.8%2026-04-06 15:15