Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Reggiana v Pescara

Kickoff: 2026-04-06 13:04 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Reggiana (Local)

Prediction 30.57%3.27fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.487%
Kelly -0.707%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.66%30.73%30.57%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.942.983.2237.74%34.04%33.61%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pescara (Visit)

Prediction 41.06%2.44fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.37%40.95%41.03%41.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.252.252.3647.62%44.41%44.44%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.37%3.53fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -0.871%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.00%28.32%28.40%29.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.263.263.4234.72%30.68%30.63%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Reggiana (Local): 30.57%; Pescara (Visit): 41.06%; Draw: 28.37%. For Reggiana (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.22, with an expected value of -1.57%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 30.03%EV -1.57%E -0.487%K -0.707%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.69%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.28%EV -2.98%E -0.871%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 12:59
1xBet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.00%EV -3.10%E -0.977%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.65%EV -5.82%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 12:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV -3.71%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.93%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-06 13:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV -3.71%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.93%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.37%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 13:00
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -6.95%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 12:59
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 12:59
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.79%EV -9.25%E -4.19%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 12:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -6.77%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 13:00
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -6.77%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -6.77%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.48%EV -8.84%E -3.98%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 12:53
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -3.50%E -1.49%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 12:58
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -3.50%E -1.49%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:00
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:00
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 12:59
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 12:59
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.66%E -4.39%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 13:00
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 12:59
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 12:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 12:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 12:59
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.72%E -5.45%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-06 12:59
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.72%E -5.45%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.72%E -5.45%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -9.82%E -3.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.65%EV -11.72%E -5.45%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-06 12:58
Betclic (FR)🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 30.48%EV -10.43%E -3.56%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.16%EV -10.89%E -5.02%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -10.64%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-06 13:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 12:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -9.66%E -4.39%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.66%E -4.39%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 13:00
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.66%E -4.39%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 13:00
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.30%EV -11.96%E -4.15%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -13.77%E -6.56%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-06 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -11.96%E -4.15%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -13.77%E -6.56%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -18.30%E -6.35%K -9.73%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -12.88%E -4.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 12:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.88%E -4.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 12:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.50%EV -12.88%E -4.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.00%EV -12.95%E -6.11%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -13.48%E -4.42%K -6.57%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-06 12:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -14.41%E -5.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:00
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -14.41%E -5.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:00
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -14.41%E -5.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:00
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -14.41%E -5.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 12:58
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -14.41%E -5.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:00
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -14.41%E -5.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -14.41%E -5.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -14.41%E -5.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:00
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -14.41%E -5.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -14.41%E -5.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -14.41%E -5.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:00
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -14.41%E -5.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -14.41%E -5.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.38%EV -13.77%E -6.56%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -10.64%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-06 13:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -15.94%E -5.79%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -6.38%E -2.80%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -15.94%E -5.79%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -6.38%E -2.80%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 13:00
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -15.94%E -5.79%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 13:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -18.99%E -7.17%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -9.66%E -4.39%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.24%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.24%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.52%0.2%2026-04-06 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-04-06 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48%1.8%2026-04-06 13:00