La escuela de los momios

Reggiana v Pescara

Inicio: 2026-04-06 13:04 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Reggiana (Local)

Predicción 30.57%3.27momio equitativo
EV -1.57%
Ventaja -0.487%
Kelly -0.707%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.66%30.73%30.57%33.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.942.983.2237.74%34.04%33.61%31.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pescara (Visitante)

Predicción 41.06%2.44momio equitativo
EV -3.09%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -2.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.37%40.95%41.03%41.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.252.252.3647.62%44.41%44.44%42.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.37%3.53momio equitativo
EV -2.98%
Ventaja -0.871%
Kelly -1.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.00%28.32%28.40%29.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.263.263.4234.72%30.68%30.63%29.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.22I 31.06%NM 30.03%EV -1.57%E -0.487%K -0.707%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.69%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.28%EV -2.98%E -0.871%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 12:59
1xBet3.17I 31.55%NM 30.00%EV -3.10%E -0.977%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.65%EV -5.82%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 12:59
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV -3.71%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.93%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-06 13:00
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV -3.71%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.93%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.37%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 13:00
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -6.95%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 12:59
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 12:59
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.79%EV -9.25%E -4.19%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 12:59
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -6.77%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 13:00
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -6.77%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -6.77%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.48%EV -8.84%E -3.98%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 12:53
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -3.50%E -1.49%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 12:58
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -3.50%E -1.49%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:00
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:00
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 12:59
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 12:59
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.66%E -4.39%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 13:00
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 12:59
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 12:59
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 12:59
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 12:59
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.72%E -5.45%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-06 12:59
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.72%E -5.45%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.72%E -5.45%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -9.82%E -3.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.65%EV -11.72%E -5.45%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-06 12:58
Betclic (FR)2.93I 34.13%NM 30.48%EV -10.43%E -3.56%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.16%EV -10.89%E -5.02%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -10.64%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-06 13:00
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 12:59
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -9.66%E -4.39%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.66%E -4.39%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 13:00
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.66%E -4.39%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 13:00
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.30%EV -11.96%E -4.15%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -13.77%E -6.56%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-06 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -11.96%E -4.15%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -13.77%E -6.56%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -18.30%E -6.35%K -9.73%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -12.88%E -4.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 12:59
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.88%E -4.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 12:59
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.50%EV -12.88%E -4.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.00%EV -12.95%E -6.11%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -13.48%E -4.42%K -6.57%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-06 12:59
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -14.41%E -5.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:00
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -14.41%E -5.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:00
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -14.41%E -5.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:00
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -14.41%E -5.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 12:58
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -14.41%E -5.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:00
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -14.41%E -5.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -14.41%E -5.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:00
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -14.41%E -5.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:00
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -14.41%E -5.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:00
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -14.41%E -5.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -14.41%E -5.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:00
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -14.41%E -5.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 13:00
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -14.41%E -5.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.38%EV -13.77%E -6.56%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -10.64%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-06 13:00
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -15.94%E -5.79%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -6.38%E -2.80%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -15.94%E -5.79%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -6.38%E -2.80%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 13:00
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -15.94%E -5.79%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.61%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 13:00
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -18.99%E -7.17%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -9.66%E -4.39%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.24%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.24%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.52%0.2%2026-04-06 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-04-06 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48%1.8%2026-04-06 13:00