L’École des cotes

Reggiana v Monza

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-17 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Reggiana (Local)

Prévision 17.24%5.80cote équitable
EV +4.79%
Avantage +0.788%
Kelly +0.944%
Croissance +0.045%

avec la cote maximale 6.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.62%17.26%17.26%18.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.755.255.206.0821.05%19.05%19.23%16.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Monza (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.96%1.79cote équitable
EV -3.75%
Avantage -2.18%
Kelly -5.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.35%55.93%55.88%56.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.641.641.7267.57%61.09%60.98%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.80%3.73cote équitable
EV -3.51%
Avantage -0.975%
Kelly -1.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.72%26.81%26.86%28.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.423.453.6034.48%29.25%28.99%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet6.08I 16.45%NM 15.62%EV +4.79%E +0.788%K +0.944%G +0.045%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.86%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 18:50
LowVig.ag5.90I 16.95%NM 16.08%EV +1.69%E +0.287%K +0.345%G +0.006%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.81%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 18:55
BetOnline.ag5.90I 16.95%NM 16.08%EV +1.69%E +0.287%K +0.345%G +0.006%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.81%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 18:55
FanDuel5.80I 17.24%NM 15.78%EV -0.032%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.49%EV -9.34%E -5.77%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 18:55
Pinnacle5.75I 17.39%NM 16.78%EV -0.894%E -0.155%K -0.188%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.11%EV -3.75%E -2.18%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.11%EV -4.58%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-17 18:45
Fanatics5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -0.894%E -0.155%K -0.188%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.57%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 18:55
Tipico (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -1.76%E -0.308%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.80%EV -9.34%E -5.77%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 17:30
Codere (IT)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.02%EV -3.48%E -0.621%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.74%EV -4.31%E -2.52%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 15:55
Marathon Bet5.55I 18.02%NM 16.80%EV -4.34%E -0.782%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -8.22%E -5.01%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -5.12%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 18:54
Coolbet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -5.20%E -0.946%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.14%EV -4.87%E -2.86%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -3.51%E -0.975%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 18:45
DraftKings5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -5.20%E -0.946%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -3.51%E -0.975%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 18:50
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.20%E -0.946%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.87%E -2.86%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:55
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -5.20%E -0.946%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -7.66%E -4.65%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 18:55
Bovada5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.20%E -0.946%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -8.78%E -5.39%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 18:54
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.20%E -0.946%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -8.78%E -5.39%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 18:55
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -5.20%E -0.946%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.68%EV -9.90%E -6.15%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -14.23%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-17 18:30
Betsson5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -8.65%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -7.66%E -4.65%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 15:55
NordicBet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -8.65%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -7.66%E -4.65%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 15:55
PointsBet (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -9.51%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 18:45
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -9.51%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -7.66%E -4.65%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 18:50
Bet Victor5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -9.51%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.90%E -6.15%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 18:49
Unibet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -10.37%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.22%E -5.01%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:20
Casumo5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -10.37%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.22%E -5.01%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:20
Unibet (NL)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -10.37%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.22%E -5.01%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:20
Unibet (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -10.37%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.22%E -5.01%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:19
Grosvenor5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -10.37%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.22%E -5.01%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:20
BetRivers5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -10.37%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.22%E -5.01%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:20
TABtouch5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -10.37%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.22%E -5.01%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:20
betPARX5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -10.37%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.22%E -5.01%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:20
Svenska Spel5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -10.37%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.22%E -5.01%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:20
ATG (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -10.37%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.22%E -5.01%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -12.10%E -2.37%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.22%EV -8.78%E -5.39%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 18:20
LiveScore Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -12.10%E -2.37%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.34%E -5.77%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 18:20
Virgin Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -12.10%E -2.37%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.34%E -5.77%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 18:20
Betclic (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.47%EV -12.10%E -2.37%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.35%EV -9.90%E -6.15%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.17%EV -12.09%E -3.68%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-17 18:32
Parions Sport (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.30%EV -12.10%E -2.37%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.14%EV -10.46%E -6.54%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.23%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-17 18:35
NetBet (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 16.87%EV -12.10%E -2.37%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.24%EV -14.38%E -9.40%K -27.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -14.23%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-17 18:55
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.92%EV -5.43%E -3.21%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 18:45
Bet Right5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 18:45
Winamax (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.45%EV -8.22%E -5.01%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-17 15:55
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 18:20
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 18:25
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 18:20
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 18:20
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -7.66%E -4.65%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -10.21%E -3.05%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-17 18:55
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -7.66%E -4.65%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-17 18:45
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -10.46%E -6.54%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-17 18:20
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.34%E -5.77%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-17 18:55
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -9.90%E -6.15%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-17 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -9.90%E -6.15%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-17 18:55
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.58%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.95%EV -10.46%E -6.54%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -14.23%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-17 18:30
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.46%EV -10.46%E -6.54%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -16.91%E -5.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-17 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.15%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.05%EV -14.38%E -9.40%K -27.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.80%EV -14.23%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%16.6%2026-03-17 14:30
PMU (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 16.39%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 55.36%EV -17.18%E -11.61%K -35.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.25%EV -22.27%E -7.68%K -11.72%G +0.000%22.1%2026-03-17 18:30
Winamax (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.33%EV -17.27%E -3.60%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.00%EV -10.46%E -6.54%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-17 15:55
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -18.13%E -3.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -9.34%E -5.77%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-17 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.60%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-03-17 18:40
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.87%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.24%1.6%2026-03-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.87%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.54%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.6%2026-03-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.87%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.54%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.6%2026-03-17 18:55
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.82%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-03-17 18:55