La escuela de los momios

Reggiana v Monza

Inicio: 2026-03-17 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Reggiana (Local)

Predicción 17.24%5.80momio equitativo
EV +4.79%
Ventaja +0.788%
Kelly +0.944%
Crecimiento +0.045%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.62%17.26%17.26%18.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.755.255.206.0821.05%19.05%19.23%16.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Monza (Visitante)

Predicción 55.96%1.79momio equitativo
EV -3.75%
Ventaja -2.18%
Kelly -5.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.35%55.93%55.88%56.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.641.641.7267.57%61.09%60.98%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.80%3.73momio equitativo
EV -3.51%
Ventaja -0.975%
Kelly -1.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.72%26.81%26.86%28.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.423.453.6034.48%29.25%28.99%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet6.08I 16.45%NM 15.62%EV +4.79%E +0.788%K +0.944%G +0.045%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.86%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 18:50
LowVig.ag5.90I 16.95%NM 16.08%EV +1.69%E +0.287%K +0.345%G +0.006%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.81%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 18:55
BetOnline.ag5.90I 16.95%NM 16.08%EV +1.69%E +0.287%K +0.345%G +0.006%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.81%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 18:55
FanDuel5.80I 17.24%NM 15.78%EV -0.032%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.49%EV -9.34%E -5.77%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 18:55
Pinnacle5.75I 17.39%NM 16.78%EV -0.894%E -0.155%K -0.188%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.11%EV -3.75%E -2.18%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.11%EV -4.58%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-17 18:45
Fanatics5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -0.894%E -0.155%K -0.188%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.57%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 18:55
Tipico (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -1.76%E -0.308%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.80%EV -9.34%E -5.77%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 17:30
Codere (IT)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.02%EV -3.48%E -0.621%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.74%EV -4.31%E -2.52%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 15:55
Marathon Bet5.55I 18.02%NM 16.80%EV -4.34%E -0.782%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -8.22%E -5.01%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -5.12%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 18:54
Coolbet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -5.20%E -0.946%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.14%EV -4.87%E -2.86%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -3.51%E -0.975%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 18:45
DraftKings5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -5.20%E -0.946%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -3.51%E -0.975%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 18:50
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.20%E -0.946%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.87%E -2.86%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:55
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -5.20%E -0.946%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -7.66%E -4.65%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 18:55
Bovada5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.20%E -0.946%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -8.78%E -5.39%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 18:54
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.20%E -0.946%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -8.78%E -5.39%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 18:55
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -5.20%E -0.946%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.68%EV -9.90%E -6.15%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -14.23%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-17 18:30
Betsson5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -8.65%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -7.66%E -4.65%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 15:55
NordicBet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -8.65%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -7.66%E -4.65%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 15:55
PointsBet (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -9.51%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 18:45
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -9.51%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -7.66%E -4.65%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 18:50
Bet Victor5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -9.51%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.90%E -6.15%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 18:49
Unibet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -10.37%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.22%E -5.01%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:20
Casumo5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -10.37%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.22%E -5.01%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:20
Unibet (NL)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -10.37%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.22%E -5.01%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:20
Unibet (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -10.37%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.22%E -5.01%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:19
Grosvenor5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -10.37%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.22%E -5.01%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:20
BetRivers5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -10.37%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.22%E -5.01%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:20
TABtouch5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -10.37%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.22%E -5.01%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:20
betPARX5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -10.37%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.22%E -5.01%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:20
Svenska Spel5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -10.37%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.22%E -5.01%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:20
ATG (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -10.37%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.22%E -5.01%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -12.10%E -2.37%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.22%EV -8.78%E -5.39%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 18:20
LiveScore Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -12.10%E -2.37%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.34%E -5.77%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 18:20
Virgin Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -12.10%E -2.37%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.34%E -5.77%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 18:20
Betclic (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.47%EV -12.10%E -2.37%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.35%EV -9.90%E -6.15%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.17%EV -12.09%E -3.68%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-17 18:32
Parions Sport (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.30%EV -12.10%E -2.37%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.14%EV -10.46%E -6.54%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.23%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-17 18:35
NetBet (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 16.87%EV -12.10%E -2.37%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.24%EV -14.38%E -9.40%K -27.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -14.23%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-17 18:55
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.92%EV -5.43%E -3.21%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 18:45
Bet Right5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 18:45
Winamax (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.45%EV -8.22%E -5.01%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-17 15:55
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 18:20
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 18:25
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 18:20
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 18:20
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -7.66%E -4.65%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -10.21%E -3.05%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-17 18:55
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -7.66%E -4.65%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-17 18:45
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -10.46%E -6.54%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-17 18:20
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.34%E -5.77%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-17 18:55
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -9.90%E -6.15%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-17 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -9.90%E -6.15%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-17 18:55
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.58%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.95%EV -10.46%E -6.54%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -14.23%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-17 18:30
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.46%EV -10.46%E -6.54%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -16.91%E -5.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-17 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.15%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.05%EV -14.38%E -9.40%K -27.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.80%EV -14.23%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%16.6%2026-03-17 14:30
PMU (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 16.39%EV -13.82%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 55.36%EV -17.18%E -11.61%K -35.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.25%EV -22.27%E -7.68%K -11.72%G +0.000%22.1%2026-03-17 18:30
Winamax (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.33%EV -17.27%E -3.60%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.00%EV -10.46%E -6.54%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-17 15:55
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -18.13%E -3.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -9.34%E -5.77%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-17 18:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.60%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-03-17 18:40
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.87%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.24%1.6%2026-03-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.87%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.54%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.6%2026-03-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.87%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.54%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.6%2026-03-17 18:55
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.82%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-03-17 18:55