Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.48
assuming max odds 2.35
assuming max odds 3.25
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Reggiana (Local): 28.72%; Carrarese (Visit): 41.18%; Draw: 30.10%. For Reggiana (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.482. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.480, with an expected value of -0.063%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.82%EV -0.063%E -0.018%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.55%EV -4.06%E -1.74%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.63%EV -4.87%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.76%EV -1.79%E -0.522%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.82%EV -6.53%E -2.88%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.43%EV -6.07%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -2.36%E -0.694%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -11.19%E -3.79%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -2.36%E -0.694%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -14.20%E -4.98%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.10%EV -4.88%E -2.11%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.66%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.12%EV -6.53%E -2.88%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -8.17%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 17:21 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -8.17%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -17.21%E -6.26%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -17.21%E -6.26%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 40.62%EV -7.76%E -3.47%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 40.62%EV -7.76%E -3.47%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -3.23%E -1.38%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%EV -2.16%E -0.664%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 17:28 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -13.53%E -6.44%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -11.47%E -5.33%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -18.72%E -6.93%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.95%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.11%EV -17.64%E -8.82%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.94%EV -13.30%E -4.62%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -9.54%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.68%EV -11.47%E -5.33%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.87%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.52%EV -10.11%E -3.23%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.52%EV -11.47%E -5.33%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.96%EV -10.29%E -3.45%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 17:16 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.01%EV -8.17%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.01%EV -8.17%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -6.11%E -2.68%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.47%E -5.33%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -15.59%E -7.60%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -12.41%E -4.07%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -12.41%E -4.07%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -3.66%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.47%E -5.33%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81% | 1.4% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.63% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70% | 1.8% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.63% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70% | 1.8% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.22% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.14% | 1.9% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.82% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.26% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.91% | 2.7% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |