L’École des cotes

Reggiana v Carrarese

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 17:34 UTC

Score final : Reggiana 2–0 Carrarese

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Reggiana (Local)

Prévision 28.72%3.48cote équitable
EV -0.063%
Avantage -0.018%
Kelly -0.026%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.95%28.78%28.68%30.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.173.103.4833.33%31.59%32.26%28.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Carrarese (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.18%2.43cote équitable
EV -3.23%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -2.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.66%41.10%41.20%43.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.232.252.3550.00%44.78%44.44%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.10%3.32cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -0.664%
Kelly -0.960%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.66%30.12%30.11%32.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.043.103.2537.04%32.94%32.26%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.48I 28.74%NM 27.82%EV -0.063%E -0.018%K -0.026%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.55%EV -4.06%E -1.74%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.63%EV -4.87%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 17:29
1xBet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.76%EV -1.79%E -0.522%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.82%EV -6.53%E -2.88%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.43%EV -6.07%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:29
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -2.36%E -0.694%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -11.19%E -3.79%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 17:30
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -2.36%E -0.694%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -14.20%E -4.98%K -7.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 17:30
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.10%EV -4.88%E -2.11%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:30
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.66%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 17:30
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.12%EV -6.53%E -2.88%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 17:29
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 17:30
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 17:30
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -8.17%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 17:21
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -8.17%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 17:30
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -17.21%E -6.26%K -9.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 17:30
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -17.21%E -6.26%K -9.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 17:30
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 17:30
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 17:30
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.62%EV -7.76%E -3.47%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 17:29
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.62%EV -7.76%E -3.47%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 17:29
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -3.23%E -1.38%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%EV -2.16%E -0.664%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 17:28
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 17:29
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 17:29
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -13.53%E -6.44%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 17:30
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -11.47%E -5.33%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -18.72%E -6.93%K -11.01%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.95%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.11%EV -17.64%E -8.82%K -17.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.94%EV -13.30%E -4.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-12 17:30
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -9.54%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.68%EV -11.47%E -5.33%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.87%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-12 17:29
Betclic (FR)3.13I 31.95%NM 28.52%EV -10.11%E -3.23%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.52%EV -11.47%E -5.33%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.96%EV -10.29%E -3.45%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 17:29
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 17:29
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 17:30
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 17:16
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 17:30
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 17:30
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 17:30
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 17:30
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 17:30
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 17:30
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 17:29
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 17:30
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 17:30
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 17:30
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.01%EV -8.17%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 17:30
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.01%EV -8.17%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 17:30
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -6.11%E -2.68%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 17:30
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 17:29
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 17:30
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.47%E -5.33%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-12 17:30
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -15.59%E -7.60%K -14.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-12 17:30
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -12.41%E -4.07%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 17:30
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -12.41%E -4.07%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 17:30
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -3.66%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 17:29
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 17:30
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 17:29
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 17:29
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 17:29
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 17:29
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.47%E -5.33%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-12 17:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%1.4%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.63%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70%1.8%2026-04-12 17:30
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.63%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70%1.8%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.22%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.14%1.9%2026-04-12 17:30
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.82%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.26%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.91%2.7%2026-04-12 17:30