Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Reggiana v Avellino

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 16:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Reggiana (Local)

Prediction 38.89%2.57fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.34%38.85%38.80%39.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.382.402.4846.51%42.04%41.67%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Avellino (Visit)

Prediction 28.96%3.45fair odd
EV +1.35%
Edge +0.386%
Kelly +0.540%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.66%29.08%28.97%31.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.123.053.5034.48%32.06%32.79%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 32.15%3.11fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.35%32.07%32.23%33.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.842.803.0040.00%35.24%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Reggiana (Local): 38.89%; Avellino (Visit): 28.96%; Draw: 32.15%. For Avellino (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.19%EV -3.93%E -1.59%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.66%EV +1.35%E +0.386%K +0.540%G +0.007%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.15%EV -6.13%E -2.10%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-22 16:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.33%EV -5.87%E -2.43%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -5.16%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 10:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.64%EV -3.54%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.87%EV -3.86%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.16%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.64%EV -3.54%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.87%EV -3.86%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.16%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 15:49
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.44%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 14:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -4.44%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 10:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.02%EV -7.04%E -2.95%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.44%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 16:04
Bovada🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.00%EV -8.21%E -3.48%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -4.44%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.11%EV -10.63%E -3.82%K -5.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 16:04
BetUS🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.00%EV -8.21%E -3.48%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -4.44%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.11%EV -10.63%E -3.82%K -5.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 16:04
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 15:45
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -8.60%E -3.66%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -7.41%E -2.57%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 10:45
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -8.60%E -3.66%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -7.41%E -2.57%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 10:44
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 10:35
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 10:35
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 10:34
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.43%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 15:24
SportsBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.43%EV -7.82%E -3.30%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -11.59%E -4.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 14:54
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -13.20%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-22 14:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 10:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -5.16%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 10:34
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -5.16%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 11:30
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -13.20%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-22 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -14.43%E -6.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -11.59%E -4.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-22 15:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -14.43%E -6.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -11.59%E -4.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-22 15:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -14.43%E -6.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -13.20%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000%14.7%2026-02-22 16:04
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 10:34
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 15:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 15:43
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 15:44
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 15:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 15:44
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 15:43
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 15:43
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 15:44
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 15:44
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 15:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 15:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 15:43
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -5.49%E -2.26%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 15:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -5.49%E -2.26%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 15:44
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 10:45
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 10:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 11:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 11:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.60%E -3.66%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-22 10:34
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-22 10:34
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-22 10:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -14.43%E -6.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%14.5%2026-02-22 10:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 38.63%EV -16.38%E -7.62%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.15%EV -14.58%E -4.94%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.22%EV -19.63%E -7.85%K -13.09%G +0.000%20.4%2026-02-22 15:25
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.43%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -16.02%E -5.53%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 15:53
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.30%EV -14.43%E -6.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.82%EV -16.02%E -5.53%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.88%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-22 16:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%0.8%2026-02-22 16:05
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 38.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.55%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28%1.5%2026-02-22 16:05