La escuela de los momios

Reggiana v Avellino

Inicio: 2026-02-22 16:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Reggiana (Local)

Predicción 38.89%2.57momio equitativo
EV -3.54%
Ventaja -1.43%
Kelly -2.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.34%38.85%38.80%39.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.382.402.4846.51%42.04%41.67%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Avellino (Visitante)

Predicción 28.96%3.45momio equitativo
EV +1.35%
Ventaja +0.386%
Kelly +0.540%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.66%29.08%28.97%31.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.123.053.5034.48%32.06%32.79%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 32.15%3.11momio equitativo
EV -3.56%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -1.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.35%32.07%32.23%33.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.842.803.0040.00%35.24%35.71%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 39.19%EV -3.93%E -1.59%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.66%EV +1.35%E +0.386%K +0.540%G +0.007%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.15%EV -6.13%E -2.10%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-22 16:05
Codere (IT)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.33%EV -5.87%E -2.43%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -5.16%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 10:45
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.64%EV -3.54%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.87%EV -3.86%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.16%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 15:50
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.64%EV -3.54%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.87%EV -3.86%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.16%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 15:49
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.44%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 14:54
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -4.44%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 10:44
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.02%EV -7.04%E -2.95%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.44%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 16:04
Bovada2.36I 42.37%NM 39.00%EV -8.21%E -3.48%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -4.44%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.11%EV -10.63%E -3.82%K -5.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 16:04
BetUS2.36I 42.37%NM 39.00%EV -8.21%E -3.48%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -4.44%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.11%EV -10.63%E -3.82%K -5.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 16:04
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 15:45
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -8.60%E -3.66%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -7.41%E -2.57%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 10:45
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -8.60%E -3.66%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -7.41%E -2.57%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 10:44
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 10:35
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 10:35
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 10:34
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.43%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 15:24
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 38.43%EV -7.82%E -3.30%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -11.59%E -4.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 14:54
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -13.20%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-22 14:54
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 10:35
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -5.16%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 10:34
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -5.16%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 11:30
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -13.20%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-22 14:55
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -14.43%E -6.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -11.59%E -4.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-22 15:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -14.43%E -6.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -11.59%E -4.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-22 15:50
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -14.43%E -6.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -13.20%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000%14.7%2026-02-22 16:04
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 10:34
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 15:44
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 15:43
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 15:44
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 15:44
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 15:44
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 15:43
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 15:43
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 15:44
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 15:44
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 15:44
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 15:44
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 15:43
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -5.49%E -2.26%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 15:44
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -5.49%E -2.26%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 15:44
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 10:45
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 10:44
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 11:29
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.65%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 11:29
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.60%E -3.66%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-22 10:34
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-22 10:34
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.54%E -4.58%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-22 10:34
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -14.43%E -6.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%14.5%2026-02-22 10:45
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 38.63%EV -16.38%E -7.62%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.15%EV -14.58%E -4.94%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.22%EV -19.63%E -7.85%K -13.09%G +0.000%20.4%2026-02-22 15:25
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.43%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -16.02%E -5.53%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 15:53
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.30%EV -14.43%E -6.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.82%EV -16.02%E -5.53%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.88%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-22 16:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (2)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%0.8%2026-02-22 16:05
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 38.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.55%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28%1.5%2026-02-22 16:05