Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pescara v Palermo

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pescara (Local)

Prediction 21.78%4.59fair odd
EV +3.66%
Edge +0.768%
Kelly +0.973%
Growth +0.036%

assuming max odds 4.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.28%21.73%21.76%23.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.224.254.7626.32%23.70%23.53%21.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Palermo (Visit)

Prediction 53.34%1.87fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -4.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.56%53.38%53.40%54.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.721.711.8063.29%58.25%58.48%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.88%4.02fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.434%
Kelly -0.581%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.85%24.90%24.84%26.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.673.703.9531.25%27.24%27.03%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pescara (Local): 21.78%; Palermo (Visit): 53.34%; Draw: 24.88%. For Pescara (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.76, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯4.76I 21.01%NM 20.28%EV +3.66%E +0.768%K +0.973%G +0.036%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.53%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.20%EV -4.70%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 13:54
LowVig.ag🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.84%EV -0.916%E -0.201%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.20%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.45%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 13:44
BetOnline.ag🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.84%EV -0.916%E -0.201%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.20%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.45%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 13:54
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.01%E -0.446%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 13:37
Tipico (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -2.01%E -0.446%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 13:45
Codere (IT)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.88%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV -2.96%E -0.758%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 13:39
Coolbet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -3.99%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -6.69%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 13:53
DraftKings🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.71%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -4.20%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 13:38
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.45%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 13:54
theScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.69%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 13:19
BetUS🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.25%E -4.80%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 13:54
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.85%EV -3.99%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -5.45%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 13:54
Unibet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 13:14
BetRivers🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 13:14
Casumo🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 13:14
Unibet (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 13:14
TABtouch🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 13:15
Grosvenor🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 13:14
Unibet (NL)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 13:14
betPARX🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 13:14
Svenska Spel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 13:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.91%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 13:15
1xBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.63%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -1.71%E -0.434%K -0.581%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.45%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 13:39
Marathon Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 13:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 13:54
NordicBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -8.25%E -4.80%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -6.69%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 13:39
Betsson🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -8.25%E -4.80%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -6.69%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 13:39
Virgin Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.07%EV -10.39%E -6.18%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 13:14
LiveScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.07%EV -10.39%E -6.18%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 13:14
Bet Right🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 13:54
SportsBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.25%E -4.80%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 13:54
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 13:54
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 13:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 13:39
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-01 13:54
LeoVegas🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.90%EV -10.92%E -6.54%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -9.18%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 13:15
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -2.96%E -0.758%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 13:44
Bet Victor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 13:37
Betr (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 13:54
Betclic (FR)🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 22.02%EV -11.80%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.41%EV -10.92%E -6.54%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.57%EV -9.68%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 13:39
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.45%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 13:39
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-01 13:54
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -10.92%E -6.54%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-01 13:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.56%EV -10.92%E -6.54%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.91%EV -20.38%E -6.37%K -9.26%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-01 13:54
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.19%EV -13.98%E -3.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.12%EV -11.99%E -7.27%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -11.67%E -3.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-01 13:39
NetBet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 21.75%EV -13.98%E -3.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 53.35%EV -14.12%E -8.77%K -23.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.90%EV -14.15%E -4.10%K -5.78%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-01 13:39
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 13:39
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 13:39
Winamax (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -16.16%E -4.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -11.45%E -6.90%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -9.18%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-01 13:39
PMU (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 22.03%EV -17.25%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 52.98%EV -15.72%E -9.95%K -27.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.99%EV -16.64%E -4.97%K -7.08%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-01 13:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.89%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.7%2026-03-01 13:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.89%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.7%2026-03-01 13:45
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-03-01 13:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-03-01 13:45
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.78%2.1%2026-03-01 13:45