La escuela de los momios

Pescara v Palermo

Inicio: 2026-03-01 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Pescara (Local)

Predicción 21.78%4.59momio equitativo
EV +3.66%
Ventaja +0.768%
Kelly +0.973%
Crecimiento +0.036%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.28%21.73%21.76%23.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.224.254.7626.32%23.70%23.53%21.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Palermo (Visitante)

Predicción 53.34%1.87momio equitativo
EV -3.99%
Ventaja -2.21%
Kelly -4.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.56%53.38%53.40%54.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.721.711.8063.29%58.25%58.48%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.88%4.02momio equitativo
EV -1.71%
Ventaja -0.434%
Kelly -0.581%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.85%24.90%24.84%26.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.673.703.9531.25%27.24%27.03%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle4.76I 21.01%NM 20.28%EV +3.66%E +0.768%K +0.973%G +0.036%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.53%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.20%EV -4.70%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 13:54
LowVig.ag4.55I 21.98%NM 20.84%EV -0.916%E -0.201%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.20%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.45%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 13:44
BetOnline.ag4.55I 21.98%NM 20.84%EV -0.916%E -0.201%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.20%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.45%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 13:54
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.01%E -0.446%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 13:37
Tipico (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -2.01%E -0.446%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 13:45
Codere (IT)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.88%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV -2.96%E -0.758%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 13:39
Coolbet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -3.99%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -6.69%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 13:53
DraftKings4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.71%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -4.20%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 13:38
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.45%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 13:54
theScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.69%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 13:19
BetUS4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.25%E -4.80%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 13:54
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.85%EV -3.99%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -5.45%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 13:54
Unibet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 13:14
BetRivers4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 13:14
Casumo4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 13:14
Unibet (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 13:14
TABtouch4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 13:15
Grosvenor4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 13:14
Unibet (NL)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 13:14
betPARX4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 13:14
Svenska Spel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 13:15
ATG (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 13:14
LeoVegas (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.91%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 13:15
1xBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.63%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -1.71%E -0.434%K -0.581%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 13:54
Unibet (UK)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.45%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 13:39
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 13:54
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 13:54
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -8.25%E -4.80%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -6.69%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 13:39
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -8.25%E -4.80%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -6.69%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 13:39
Virgin Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.07%EV -10.39%E -6.18%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 13:14
LiveScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.07%EV -10.39%E -6.18%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 13:14
Bet Right4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 13:54
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.25%E -4.80%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 13:54
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 13:54
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 13:54
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 13:39
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 13:39
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-01 13:54
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.90%EV -10.92%E -6.54%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -9.18%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 13:15
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -2.96%E -0.758%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 13:44
Bet Victor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 13:37
Betr (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 13:54
Betclic (FR)4.05I 24.69%NM 22.02%EV -11.80%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.41%EV -10.92%E -6.54%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.57%EV -9.68%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 13:39
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.42%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 13:45
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.45%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 13:39
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-01 13:54
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -10.92%E -6.54%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-01 13:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.56%EV -10.92%E -6.54%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.91%EV -20.38%E -6.37%K -9.26%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-01 13:54
Parions Sport (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.19%EV -13.98%E -3.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.12%EV -11.99%E -7.27%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -11.67%E -3.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-01 13:39
NetBet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 21.75%EV -13.98%E -3.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 53.35%EV -14.12%E -8.77%K -23.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.90%EV -14.15%E -4.10%K -5.78%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-01 13:39
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 13:39
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 13:39
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -16.16%E -4.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -11.45%E -6.90%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -9.18%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-01 13:39
PMU (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 22.03%EV -17.25%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 52.98%EV -15.72%E -9.95%K -27.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.99%EV -16.64%E -4.97%K -7.08%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-01 13:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.89%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.7%2026-03-01 13:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.89%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.7%2026-03-01 13:45
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-03-01 13:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-03-01 13:45
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.78%2.1%2026-03-01 13:45