L’École des cotes

Palermo v Südtirol

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 14:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Palermo (Local)

Prévision 57.51%1.74cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -1.66%
Kelly -4.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.88%57.62%57.41%59.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.591.581.6969.44%62.94%63.29%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Südtirol (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.16%5.83cote équitable
EV +8.77%
Avantage +1.38%
Kelly +1.64%
Croissance +0.144%

avec la cote maximale 6.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.23%17.05%17.28%18.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.605.365.256.3421.74%18.66%19.05%15.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.33%3.95cote équitable
EV +1.33%
Avantage +0.332%
Kelly +0.442%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.75%25.33%25.30%26.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.623.604.0031.25%27.61%27.78%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 58.88%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.23%EV +8.77%E +1.38%K +1.64%G +0.144%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.89%EV -5.51%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 13:59
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV +2.93%E +0.489%K +0.587%G +0.017%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%EV -6.27%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 13:59
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV +2.93%E +0.489%K +0.587%G +0.017%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%EV -6.27%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 13:59
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -8.55%E -5.38%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV +2.93%E +0.489%K +0.587%G +0.017%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 13:59
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -10.86%E -7.00%K -19.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV +2.93%E +0.489%K +0.587%G +0.017%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:00
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.02%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV +1.22%E +0.206%K +0.249%G +0.003%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.87%EV -3.23%E -0.846%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 13:59
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.62%EV -1.36%E -0.236%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.48%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 13:59
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -8.55%E -5.38%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -1.36%E -0.236%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV +1.33%E +0.332%K +0.442%G +0.006%5.3%2026-02-21 14:00
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.36%E -0.236%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:59
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.36%E -0.236%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:59
Codere (IT)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.51%EV -6.25%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.03%EV -3.93%E -0.702%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -1.21%E -0.309%K -0.416%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 14:00
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.26%EV -6.25%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.93%E -0.702%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -9.31%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 13:59
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -3.74%E -0.984%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 13:59
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 13:59
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 13:59
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 13:59
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 13:59
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 14:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 14:00
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -13.87%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 14:00
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.85%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.46%EV -9.08%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 13:59
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.85%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.46%EV -9.08%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.08%EV -17.18%E -11.93%K -39.05%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 15.78%EV -9.08%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.14%EV -18.94%E -5.92%K -8.61%G +0.000%19.6%2026-02-21 13:59
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.82%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 14:00
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -3.95%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -10.07%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:00
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -3.74%E -0.984%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 13:59
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -9.13%E -5.78%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:00
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.07%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 13:59
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:00
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:00
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:00
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:00
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:00
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:00
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:00
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:00
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 13:59
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.93%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -10.79%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -6.27%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:00
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.93%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -10.79%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -6.27%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:00
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -12.51%E -2.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -3.74%E -0.984%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 13:53
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:00
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 13:59
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.75%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -12.61%E -3.65%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 14:00
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 14:00
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 14:00
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -13.87%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-21 14:00
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.65%EV -12.58%E -8.28%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.53%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.82%EV -10.58%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-21 13:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.53%EV -12.58%E -8.28%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.49%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-21 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.65%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.47%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -17.67%E -5.44%K -7.85%G +0.000%14.5%2026-02-21 14:00
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.05%EV -13.73%E -9.15%K -27.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.42%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.53%EV -10.07%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-21 14:00
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 54.88%EV -9.13%E -5.78%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.85%EV -21.08%E -4.58%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.27%EV -16.41%E -4.97%K -7.13%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-21 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.80%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-02-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-02-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-02-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-02-21 14:00
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.75%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.24%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.01%2.5%2026-02-21 14:00