La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Palermo v Südtirol
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Palermo (Local)
Predicción 57.51%1.74momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -4.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.88%57.62%57.41%59.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.591.581.6969.44%62.94%63.29%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Südtirol (Visitante)
Predicción 17.16%5.83momio equitativo
EV +8.77%
Ventaja +1.38%
Kelly +1.64%
Crecimiento +0.144%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.23%17.05%17.28%18.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.605.365.256.3421.74%18.66%19.05%15.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.33%3.95momio equitativo
EV +1.33%
Ventaja +0.332%
Kelly +0.442%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.75%25.33%25.30%26.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.623.604.0031.25%27.61%27.78%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.88%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.23%EV +8.77%E +1.38%K +1.64%G +0.144% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.89%EV -5.51%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV +2.93%E +0.489%K +0.587%G +0.017% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%EV -6.27%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV +2.93%E +0.489%K +0.587%G +0.017% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%EV -6.27%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -8.55%E -5.38%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV +2.93%E +0.489%K +0.587%G +0.017% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -10.86%E -7.00%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV +2.93%E +0.489%K +0.587%G +0.017% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.02%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV +1.22%E +0.206%K +0.249%G +0.003% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.87%EV -3.23%E -0.846%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.62%EV -1.36%E -0.236%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.48%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -8.55%E -5.38%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -1.36%E -0.236%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV +1.33%E +0.332%K +0.442%G +0.006% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Bovada | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.36%E -0.236%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| BetUS | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.36%E -0.236%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.51%EV -6.25%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.03%EV -3.93%E -0.702%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -1.21%E -0.309%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.26%EV -6.25%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.93%E -0.702%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -9.31%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -3.74%E -0.984%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| William Hill | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -13.87%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Betsson | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.85%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.46%EV -9.08%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.85%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.46%EV -9.08%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.08%EV -17.18%E -11.93%K -39.05%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 15.78%EV -9.08%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.14%EV -18.94%E -5.92%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.82%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -3.95%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -10.07%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -3.74%E -0.984%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Unibet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -9.13%E -5.78%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.07%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Casumo | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| betPARX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.93%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -10.79%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -6.27%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.93%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -10.79%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -6.27%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -12.51%E -2.45%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -3.74%E -0.984%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 13:53 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.75%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -12.61%E -3.65%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -13.87%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.65%EV -12.58%E -8.28%K -24.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.53%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 24.82%EV -10.58%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.53%EV -12.58%E -8.28%K -24.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.49%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.65%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.47%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -17.67%E -5.44%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.05%EV -13.73%E -9.15%K -27.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.42%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.53%EV -10.07%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 54.88%EV -9.13%E -5.78%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.85%EV -21.08%E -4.58%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.27%EV -16.41%E -4.97%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.80% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.75% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.24% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.01% | 2.5% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |