La scuola delle quote

Padova v US Catanzaro 1929

Inizio: 2026-03-14 14:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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56 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Padova (Casa)

Previsione 27.82%3.60quota equa
EV +2.92%
Vantaggio +0.788%
Kelly +1.08%
Crescita +0.032%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.03%27.92%27.76%30.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.223.213.7033.90%31.06%31.15%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

US Catanzaro 1929 (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.55%2.30quota equa
EV -2.02%
Vantaggio -0.896%
Kelly -1.61%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.55%43.49%43.58%45.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.902.132.112.2552.63%46.91%47.39%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.64%3.49quota equa
EV -1.49%
Vantaggio -0.434%
Kelly -0.612%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.87%28.59%28.66%30.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.183.203.4437.04%31.48%31.25%29.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV +2.92%E +0.788%K +1.08%G +0.032%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.64%EV -8.11%E -3.84%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.33%EV -2.64%E -0.776%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 13:55
LowVig.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV +2.92%E +0.788%K +1.08%G +0.032%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.64%EV -8.11%E -3.84%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.33%EV -2.64%E -0.776%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 13:55
Pinnacle3.58I 27.93%NM 27.04%EV -0.420%E -0.117%K -0.163%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.82%EV -5.94%E -2.75%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.14%EV -1.49%E -0.434%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 13:55
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -2.65%E -0.756%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.80%EV -4.19%E -1.91%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.68%EV -3.78%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 13:55
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -4.04%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.07%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 13:50
Bovada3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -4.04%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -10.29%E -5.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 13:52
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.19%E -1.91%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 13:55
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.19%E -1.91%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 13:50
1xBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.56%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.90%EV -7.22%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 13:55
Marathon Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.82%EV -7.24%E -3.40%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 13:50
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 13:45
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 13:50
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 13:55
Unibet (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.82%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -4.19%E -1.91%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 13:50
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.82%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.92%EV -8.98%E -4.30%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:50
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 13:50
NordicBet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 13:50
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 13:55
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 13:50
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 13:50
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 13:50
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 13:50
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.73%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 13:55
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -9.60%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.73%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -9.60%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.73%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 13:45
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -9.60%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.73%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 13:45
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -9.60%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -10.73%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -16.96%E -5.85%K -8.92%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-14 13:55
Betclic (FR)3.22I 31.06%NM 27.71%EV -10.43%E -3.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -10.73%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-14 13:50
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.19%E -1.91%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 13:45
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.19%E -1.91%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 13:45
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.73%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -2.64%E -0.776%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 13:49
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 13:50
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 13:45
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -10.73%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -16.96%E -5.85%K -8.92%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-14 13:55
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -12.38%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 13:55
Parions Sport (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -12.38%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.45%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.97%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-14 13:50
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.39%EV -12.38%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 43.36%EV -13.34%E -6.70%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.25%EV -15.52%E -5.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-14 13:49
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -13.77%E -4.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 13:55
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -13.77%E -4.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-14 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -13.77%E -4.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -16.82%E -8.81%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%17.9%2026-03-14 13:55
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -15.16%E -4.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -10.73%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-14 13:50
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -16.55%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -2.02%E -0.896%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:40
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -16.55%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -2.02%E -0.896%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:40
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -16.55%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -2.02%E -0.896%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:40
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -16.55%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -2.02%E -0.896%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:40
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -16.55%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -2.02%E -0.896%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:40
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -16.55%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -2.02%E -0.896%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:40
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -16.55%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -2.02%E -0.896%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:40
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -16.55%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -2.02%E -0.896%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:40
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -16.55%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -2.02%E -0.896%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:40
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -16.55%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -2.02%E -0.896%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:40
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 27.10%EV -16.55%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 42.79%EV -17.26%E -9.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.11%EV -22.68%E -8.40%K -13.34%G +0.000%23.0%2026-03-14 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -17.94%E -6.08%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -2.02%E -0.896%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 13:40
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -17.94%E -6.08%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -2.89%E -1.29%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 13:40
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -17.94%E -6.08%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -2.89%E -1.29%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 13:40
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -17.94%E -6.08%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -4.19%E -1.91%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-14 13:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%1.4%2026-03-14 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%1.4%2026-03-14 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%1.4%2026-03-14 13:50
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%1.4%2026-03-14 13:50
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77%2.2%2026-03-14 13:55