Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Padova v US Catanzaro 1929

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Padova (Local)

Prévision 27.82%3.60cote équitable
EV +2.92%
Avantage +0.788%
Kelly +1.08%
Croissance +0.032%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.03%27.92%27.76%30.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.223.213.7033.90%31.06%31.15%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

US Catanzaro 1929 (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.55%2.30cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -0.896%
Kelly -1.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.55%43.49%43.58%45.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.902.132.112.2552.63%46.91%47.39%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.64%3.49cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.434%
Kelly -0.612%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.87%28.59%28.66%30.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.703.183.203.4437.04%31.48%31.25%29.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Padova (Local) : 27.82% ; US Catanzaro 1929 (Visiteur) : 43.55% ; Match nul : 28.64%. Pour Padova (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.60. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.70, soit une espérance positive de +2.92%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV +2.92%E +0.788%K +1.08%G +0.032%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.64%EV -8.11%E -3.84%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.33%EV -2.64%E -0.776%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV +2.92%E +0.788%K +1.08%G +0.032%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.64%EV -8.11%E -3.84%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.33%EV -2.64%E -0.776%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 13:55
Pinnacle🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 27.04%EV -0.420%E -0.117%K -0.163%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.82%EV -5.94%E -2.75%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.14%EV -1.49%E -0.434%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 13:55
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -2.65%E -0.756%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.80%EV -4.19%E -1.91%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.68%EV -3.78%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 13:55
DraftKings🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -4.04%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.07%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 13:50
Bovada🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -4.04%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -10.29%E -5.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 13:52
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.19%E -1.91%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 13:55
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.19%E -1.91%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 13:50
1xBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.56%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.90%EV -7.22%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.82%EV -7.24%E -3.40%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 13:50
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 13:50
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.82%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -4.19%E -1.91%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 13:50
BetUS🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.82%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.92%EV -8.98%E -4.30%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:50
Betsson🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 13:50
NordicBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 13:50
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 13:55
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 13:50
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 13:50
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.73%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 13:55
Neds🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -9.60%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.73%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -9.60%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.73%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 13:45
Coral🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -9.60%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.73%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 13:45
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -9.60%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -10.73%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -16.96%E -5.85%K -8.92%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-14 13:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 27.71%EV -10.43%E -3.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -10.73%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-14 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.19%E -1.91%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 13:45
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.19%E -1.91%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 13:45
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.73%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -2.64%E -0.776%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 13:49
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 13:50
PlayUp🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 13:45
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -10.73%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -16.96%E -5.85%K -8.92%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-14 13:55
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -12.38%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 13:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -12.38%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.45%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.97%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-14 13:50
NetBet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.39%EV -12.38%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 43.36%EV -13.34%E -6.70%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.25%EV -15.52%E -5.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-14 13:49
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -13.77%E -4.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 13:55
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -13.77%E -4.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-14 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -13.77%E -4.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -16.82%E -8.81%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%17.9%2026-03-14 13:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -15.16%E -4.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -10.73%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-14 13:50
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -16.55%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -2.02%E -0.896%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:40
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -16.55%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -2.02%E -0.896%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:40
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -16.55%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -2.02%E -0.896%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:40
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -16.55%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -2.02%E -0.896%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -16.55%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -2.02%E -0.896%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -16.55%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -2.02%E -0.896%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:40
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -16.55%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -2.02%E -0.896%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:40
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -16.55%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -2.02%E -0.896%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -16.55%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -2.02%E -0.896%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -16.55%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -2.02%E -0.896%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:40
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 27.10%EV -16.55%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 42.79%EV -17.26%E -9.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.11%EV -22.68%E -8.40%K -13.34%G +0.000%23.0%2026-03-14 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -17.94%E -6.08%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -2.02%E -0.896%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -17.94%E -6.08%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -2.89%E -1.29%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 13:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -17.94%E -6.08%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -2.89%E -1.29%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 13:40
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -17.94%E -6.08%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -4.19%E -1.91%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-14 13:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%1.4%2026-03-14 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%1.4%2026-03-14 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%1.4%2026-03-14 13:50
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%1.4%2026-03-14 13:50
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77%2.2%2026-03-14 13:55