A Escola das Odds

Padova v Palermo

Início: 2026-03-21 14:04 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Padova (Local)

Previsão 19.23%5.20odd justa
EV +1.53%
Vantagem +0.290%
Kelly +0.358%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.68%19.41%19.12%21.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.104.734.755.2824.39%21.16%21.05%18.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Palermo (Visitante)

Previsão 57.04%1.75odd justa
EV -2.47%
Vantagem -1.44%
Kelly -3.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.56%56.76%57.09%58.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.481.621.621.7167.57%61.70%61.73%58.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.73%4.21odd justa
EV +0.156%
Vantagem +0.037%
Kelly +0.049%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.49%23.83%23.79%26.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.783.804.2230.77%26.44%26.32%23.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle5.28I 18.94%NM 18.24%EV +1.53%E +0.290%K +0.358%G +0.005%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.38%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.38%EV -2.22%E -0.538%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 13:59
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -0.007%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:00
FanDuel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -1.93%E -0.378%K -0.471%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.12%EV -8.17%E -5.08%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:00
Marathon Bet5.05I 19.80%NM 18.43%EV -2.89%E -0.572%K -0.714%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -8.17%E -5.08%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.75%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 13:59
1xBet5.02I 19.92%NM 18.91%EV -3.47%E -0.691%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.60%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.49%EV +0.156%E +0.037%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 13:59
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.13%EV -3.85%E -0.771%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.95%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 13:59
LowVig.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 19.11%EV -3.85%E -0.771%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.57%EV -5.32%E -3.20%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -2.69%E -0.656%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 13:59
BetOnline.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 19.11%EV -3.85%E -0.771%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.57%EV -5.32%E -3.20%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -2.69%E -0.656%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 14:00
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -3.85%E -0.771%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 13:59
Codere (IT)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -3.85%E -0.771%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.72%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -2.69%E -0.656%K -0.868%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 14:00
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -3.85%E -0.771%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 14:00
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -3.85%E -0.771%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -10.45%E -6.66%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 13:59
Bovada4.95I 20.20%NM 18.65%EV -4.81%E -0.973%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 13:58
BetUS4.95I 20.20%NM 18.65%EV -4.81%E -0.973%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 13:59
Betsson4.85I 20.62%NM 19.01%EV -6.74%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -6.25%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 13:59
NordicBet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.01%EV -6.74%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -6.25%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 13:59
William Hill4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.70%E -1.60%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.81%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 13:59
888sport4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -7.70%E -1.60%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -8.17%E -5.08%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -9.81%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 13:59
888sport (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -7.70%E -1.60%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -8.17%E -5.08%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -9.81%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 13:59
Mr Green (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -7.70%E -1.60%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -8.17%E -5.08%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -9.81%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 13:59
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 13:59
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -9.81%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 13:59
Unibet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:00
Grosvenor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:00
Casumo4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:00
Unibet (NL)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:00
Unibet (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:00
TABtouch4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:00
betPARX4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:00
Svenska Spel4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:00
ATG (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:00
BetRivers4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.42%EV -5.32%E -3.20%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -13.37%E -3.66%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 13:46
Bet Right4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.46%E -3.94%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.00%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 13:59
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.84%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.59%EV -8.17%E -5.08%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -16.93%E -4.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-21 14:00
Paddy Power4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -16.93%E -4.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -9.62%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.80%EV -6.46%E -3.94%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:00
Virgin Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -9.62%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.76%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -13.37%E -3.66%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:00
LiveScore Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -9.62%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.76%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -13.37%E -3.66%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:00
Betr (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -11.54%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.87%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 13:59
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -11.54%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -11.00%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-21 13:57
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -11.54%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -8.17%E -5.08%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -14.56%E -4.04%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 14:00
Sky Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.13%EV -11.54%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.99%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -19.31%E -5.68%K -8.04%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 14:00
Parions Sport (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.10%EV -11.54%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.79%EV -13.30%E -8.75%K -25.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -9.81%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-21 13:59
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -13.47%E -2.99%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -9.81%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 13:59
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -13.47%E -2.99%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.07%EV -11.59%E -7.48%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -9.81%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-21 14:00
NetBet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.38%EV -13.47%E -2.99%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.37%EV -13.30%E -8.75%K -25.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -11.00%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-21 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -13.47%E -2.99%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -10.45%E -6.66%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%EV -21.68%E -6.57%K -9.43%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-21 14:00
DraftKings4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -15.39%E -3.50%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:00
theScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -15.39%E -3.50%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -15.39%E -3.50%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -9.81%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 14:00
Neds4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -15.39%E -3.50%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -9.81%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 13:59
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -15.39%E -3.50%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -9.81%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 14:00
PMU (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 18.77%EV -15.39%E -3.50%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 55.81%EV -15.59%E -10.53%K -32.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.42%EV -22.87%E -7.04%K -10.16%G +0.000%21.1%2026-03-21 14:00
Winamax (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -17.31%E -4.03%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.16%EV -6.46%E -3.94%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%EV -9.81%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 14:00
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -21.16%E -5.16%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.56%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.89%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-21 14:00
Winamax (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -21.16%E -5.16%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.86%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-21 14:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11%1.2%2026-03-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-03-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-03-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.44%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42%2.4%2026-03-21 14:00
Smarkets5.20I 19.23%NM 18.47%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%4.1%2026-03-21 14:00