L’École des cotes

Padova v Palermo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 14:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Padova (Local)

Prévision 19.23%5.20cote équitable
EV +1.53%
Avantage +0.290%
Kelly +0.358%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 5.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.68%19.41%19.12%21.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.734.755.2824.39%21.16%21.05%18.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Palermo (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.04%1.75cote équitable
EV -2.47%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -3.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.56%56.76%57.09%58.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.621.621.7167.57%61.70%61.73%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.73%4.21cote équitable
EV +0.156%
Avantage +0.037%
Kelly +0.049%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.49%23.83%23.79%26.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.783.804.2230.77%26.44%26.32%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle5.28I 18.94%NM 18.24%EV +1.53%E +0.290%K +0.358%G +0.005%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.38%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.38%EV -2.22%E -0.538%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 13:59
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -0.007%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:00
FanDuel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -1.93%E -0.378%K -0.471%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.12%EV -8.17%E -5.08%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:00
Marathon Bet5.05I 19.80%NM 18.43%EV -2.89%E -0.572%K -0.714%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -8.17%E -5.08%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.75%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 13:59
1xBet5.02I 19.92%NM 18.91%EV -3.47%E -0.691%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.60%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.49%EV +0.156%E +0.037%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 13:59
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.13%EV -3.85%E -0.771%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.95%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 13:59
LowVig.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 19.11%EV -3.85%E -0.771%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.57%EV -5.32%E -3.20%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -2.69%E -0.656%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 13:59
BetOnline.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 19.11%EV -3.85%E -0.771%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.57%EV -5.32%E -3.20%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -2.69%E -0.656%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 14:00
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -3.85%E -0.771%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.75%E -2.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 13:59
Codere (IT)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -3.85%E -0.771%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.72%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -2.69%E -0.656%K -0.868%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 14:00
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -3.85%E -0.771%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 14:00
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -3.85%E -0.771%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -10.45%E -6.66%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 13:59
Bovada4.95I 20.20%NM 18.65%EV -4.81%E -0.973%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 13:58
BetUS4.95I 20.20%NM 18.65%EV -4.81%E -0.973%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 13:59
Betsson4.85I 20.62%NM 19.01%EV -6.74%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -6.25%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 13:59
NordicBet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.01%EV -6.74%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -6.25%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 13:59
William Hill4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.70%E -1.60%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.81%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 13:59
888sport4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -7.70%E -1.60%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -8.17%E -5.08%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -9.81%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 13:59
888sport (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -7.70%E -1.60%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -8.17%E -5.08%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -9.81%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 13:59
Mr Green (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -7.70%E -1.60%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -8.17%E -5.08%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -9.81%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 13:59
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 13:59
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -9.81%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 13:59
Unibet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:00
Grosvenor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:00
Casumo4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:00
Unibet (NL)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:00
Unibet (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:00
TABtouch4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:00
betPARX4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:00
Svenska Spel4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:00
ATG (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:00
BetRivers4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.42%EV -5.32%E -3.20%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -13.37%E -3.66%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 13:46
Bet Right4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.46%E -3.94%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.00%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 13:59
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.84%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.59%EV -8.17%E -5.08%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -16.93%E -4.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-21 14:00
Paddy Power4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -16.93%E -4.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -9.62%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.80%EV -6.46%E -3.94%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:00
Virgin Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -9.62%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.76%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -13.37%E -3.66%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:00
LiveScore Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -9.62%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.76%EV -7.03%E -4.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -13.37%E -3.66%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:00
Betr (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -11.54%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.87%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 13:59
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -11.54%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -11.00%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-21 13:57
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -11.54%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -8.17%E -5.08%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -14.56%E -4.04%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 14:00
Sky Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.13%EV -11.54%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.99%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -19.31%E -5.68%K -8.04%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 14:00
Parions Sport (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.10%EV -11.54%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.79%EV -13.30%E -8.75%K -25.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -9.81%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-21 13:59
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -13.47%E -2.99%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -9.81%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 13:59
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -13.47%E -2.99%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.07%EV -11.59%E -7.48%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -9.81%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-21 14:00
NetBet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.38%EV -13.47%E -2.99%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.37%EV -13.30%E -8.75%K -25.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -11.00%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-21 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -13.47%E -2.99%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -10.45%E -6.66%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%EV -21.68%E -6.57%K -9.43%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-21 14:00
DraftKings4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -15.39%E -3.50%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:00
theScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -15.39%E -3.50%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -15.39%E -3.50%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -9.81%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 14:00
Neds4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -15.39%E -3.50%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -9.81%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 13:59
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -15.39%E -3.50%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -9.81%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 14:00
PMU (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 18.77%EV -15.39%E -3.50%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 55.81%EV -15.59%E -10.53%K -32.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.42%EV -22.87%E -7.04%K -10.16%G +0.000%21.1%2026-03-21 14:00
Winamax (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -17.31%E -4.03%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.16%EV -6.46%E -3.94%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%EV -9.81%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 14:00
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -21.16%E -5.16%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.56%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.89%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-21 14:00
Winamax (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -21.16%E -5.16%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.86%EV -8.74%E -5.46%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-21 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11%1.2%2026-03-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-03-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-03-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.44%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42%2.4%2026-03-21 14:00
Smarkets5.20I 19.23%NM 18.47%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%4.1%2026-03-21 14:00