Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.02
assuming max odds 2.65
assuming max odds 3.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Padova (Local): 32.66%; Hellas Verona (Visit): 37.47%; Draw: 29.87%. For Hellas Verona (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -0.712%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.08%EV -1.37%E -0.455%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.56%EV -0.712%E -0.269%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.36%EV -7.69%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-29 18:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -2.03%E -0.675%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -2.03%E -0.675%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -2.03%E -0.675%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -2.03%E -0.675%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -2.03%E -0.675%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -2.03%E -0.675%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -2.03%E -0.675%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -2.03%E -0.675%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -2.03%E -0.675%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.66%E -1.24%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -11.95%E -5.09%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -3.99%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -3.33%E -1.29%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -3.99%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -3.33%E -1.29%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -5.29%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -1.41%E -0.428%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 18:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -5.29%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.37%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 16:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.29%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -5.29%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.95%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -5.58%E -2.22%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -5.95%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -5.95%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.67%EV -12.70%E -5.45%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.89%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 11:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 18:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.87%E -4.02%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -13.83%E -6.01%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -11.87%E -4.02%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -13.83%E -6.01%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -11.87%E -4.02%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -13.83%E -6.01%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -11.87%E -4.02%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.55%EV -7.58%E -2.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.68%EV -5.58%E -2.22%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -1.41%E -0.428%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 18:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 17:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 16:46 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -13.36%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -13.36%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 18:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.57%EV -9.21%E -3.31%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.22%EV -13.36%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 18:33 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 18:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 17:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 16:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -5.89%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 16:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -11.95%E -5.09%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -5.89%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 18:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -13.96%E -4.85%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -15.70%E -6.98%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.27%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 38.56%EV -16.45%E -7.38%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.17%EV -14.86%E -5.21%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -11.95%E -5.09%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -10.83%E -4.55%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -11.20%E -4.73%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -11.20%E -4.73%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.62%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.01%EV -10.83%E -4.55%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -13.36%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.54%EV -12.80%E -4.80%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.97%EV -11.95%E -5.09%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.49%EV -14.86%E -5.21%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.47% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.47% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.47% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 18:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 1.3% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.55% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.44% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.00% | 2.4% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |