Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Padova v Hellas Verona

Início: 2026-08-29 19:02 UTC

Final: Padova 1–1 Hellas Verona

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Padova (Local)

Previsão 32.66%3.06odd justa
EV -1.37%
Vantagem -0.455%
Kelly -0.680%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.08%32.56%32.64%33.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.672.842.803.0237.45%35.22%35.71%33.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hellas Verona (Visitante)

Previsão 37.47%2.67odd justa
EV -0.712%
Vantagem -0.269%
Kelly -0.431%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.21%37.50%37.44%39.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.232.432.402.6544.84%41.18%41.67%37.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.87%3.35odd justa
EV -1.41%
Vantagem -0.428%
Kelly -0.614%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.42%29.94%29.91%31.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.853.073.103.3035.09%32.58%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Padova (Local): 32.66%; Hellas Verona (Visitante): 37.47%; Empate: 29.87%. Para Hellas Verona (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.67. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.65, com valor esperado de -0.712%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 32.08%EV -1.37%E -0.455%K -0.680%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.56%EV -0.712%E -0.269%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.36%EV -7.69%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 18:45
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -2.03%E -0.675%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 18:05
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -2.03%E -0.675%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 18:05
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -2.03%E -0.675%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -2.03%E -0.675%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -2.03%E -0.675%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 18:05
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -2.03%E -0.675%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -2.03%E -0.675%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -2.03%E -0.675%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 18:05
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -2.03%E -0.675%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 18:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.66%E -1.24%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -11.95%E -5.09%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -3.99%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -3.33%E -1.29%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -3.99%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -3.33%E -1.29%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 18:40
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -5.29%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -1.41%E -0.428%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 18:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -5.29%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.37%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 16:55
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.29%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 18:40
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -5.29%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.95%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -5.58%E -2.22%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 18:55
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -5.95%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 18:39
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -5.95%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.67%EV -12.70%E -5.45%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 18:05
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.89%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 11:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 16:45
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 18:29
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.87%E -4.02%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -13.83%E -6.01%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -11.87%E -4.02%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -13.83%E -6.01%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -11.87%E -4.02%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -13.83%E -6.01%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -11.87%E -4.02%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 11:50
1xBet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.55%EV -7.58%E -2.68%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.68%EV -5.58%E -2.22%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -1.41%E -0.428%K -0.614%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:50
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 18:45
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 18:45
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 17:19
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 17:20
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 16:46
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 16:45
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -13.36%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -13.36%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 18:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 32.57%EV -9.21%E -3.31%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.22%EV -13.36%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 18:33
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 18:45
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 17:45
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 16:50
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 16:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -5.89%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 16:45
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -11.95%E -5.09%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -5.89%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 18:45
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -13.96%E -4.85%K -7.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -15.70%E -6.98%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-29 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.27%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 38.56%EV -16.45%E -7.38%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.17%EV -14.86%E -5.21%K -8.03%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-29 18:05
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -11.95%E -5.09%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 16:45
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -10.83%E -4.55%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-29 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -11.20%E -4.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 16:50
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -11.20%E -4.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 16:50
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.62%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.01%EV -10.83%E -4.55%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -13.36%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-29 16:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 32.54%EV -12.80%E -4.80%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.97%EV -11.95%E -5.09%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.49%EV -14.86%E -5.21%K -8.03%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-29 18:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.47%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-08-29 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.47%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-08-29 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.47%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-08-29 18:50
Matchbook◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%1.3%2026-08-29 18:55
Smarkets◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.55%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.44%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.00%2.4%2026-08-29 18:55