L’École des cotes

Modena v Spezia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-13 19:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Modena (Local)

Prévision 55.64%1.80cote équitable
EV -4.30%
Avantage -2.50%
Kelly -5.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.55%55.70%55.64%57.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.661.671.7267.57%60.20%59.88%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Spezia (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.36%5.45cote équitable
EV +5.57%
Avantage +0.968%
Kelly +1.17%
Croissance +0.065%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.25%18.26%18.34%19.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.904.885.7522.73%20.42%20.51%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.00%3.85cote équitable
EV -1.45%
Avantage -0.383%
Kelly -0.520%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.10%26.04%26.03%28.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.483.503.7933.33%28.72%28.57%26.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.30%EV -8.20%E -4.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV +5.57%E +0.968%K +1.17%G +0.065%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 15:40
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.30%EV -6.53%E -3.89%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.16%EV +3.00%E +0.534%K +0.650%G +0.019%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.54%EV -1.97%E -0.523%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 19:05
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 56.17%EV -9.87%E -6.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.25%EV +2.81%E +0.502%K +0.611%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -14.19%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 19:25
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -10.98%E -6.86%K -18.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +0.976%E +0.178%K +0.217%G +0.002%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 19:15
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.95%EV -2.70%E -0.509%K -0.627%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV -1.45%E -0.383%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 19:25
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.39%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -3.61%E -0.688%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 18:24
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.39%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -3.61%E -0.688%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 18:25
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.56%EV -6.53%E -3.89%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.61%E -0.688%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.49%E -0.665%K -0.906%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 19:24
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -3.61%E -0.688%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -3.79%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 19:25
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.82%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.61%E -0.688%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 18:39
Bovada1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -9.31%E -5.71%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -3.61%E -0.688%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:00
BetUS1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -9.31%E -5.71%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -3.61%E -0.688%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:00
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.49%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.36%EV -4.53%E -0.871%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.15%EV -5.09%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 13:04
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.92%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.13%EV -5.45%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 18:59
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.52%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.20%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -5.09%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-13 19:25
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.20%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -8.20%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 19:25
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -8.20%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-13 11:49
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -8.20%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-13 11:50
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -8.20%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-13 11:50
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -8.20%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-13 11:50
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -10.42%E -6.47%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -8.20%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 19:18
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.42%E -6.47%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -8.20%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.19%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-13 18:35
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 55.18%EV -10.98%E -6.86%K -18.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -8.20%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-13 18:59
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 54.46%EV -10.98%E -6.86%K -18.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -8.20%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -19.39%E -6.26%K -9.23%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-13 19:20
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.53%E -3.89%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.65%EV -9.12%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 13:05
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.53%E -3.89%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.65%EV -9.12%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 13:05
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 55.86%EV -8.75%E -5.34%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -10.04%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-13 19:24
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -8.20%E -4.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.64%EV -10.96%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-13 18:29
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -8.20%E -4.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -11.88%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-13 19:25
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 55.50%EV -17.66%E -11.93%K -36.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.11%EV -11.88%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.38%EV -21.99%E -7.33%K -11.00%G +0.000%21.7%2026-03-13 19:00
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.79%E -2.69%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 18:29
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 54.78%EV -9.31%E -5.71%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.80%EV -12.79%E -2.69%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.42%EV -12.11%E -3.58%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-13 19:05
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -9.87%E -6.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -12.79%E -2.69%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-13 18:30
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -7.64%E -4.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -13.71%E -2.92%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-13 13:04
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -15.55%E -3.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 18:34
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -15.55%E -3.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 18:35
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -15.55%E -3.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 18:35
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -15.55%E -3.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 18:35
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -15.55%E -3.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 18:35
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -15.55%E -3.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 18:30
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -15.55%E -3.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 18:30
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -15.55%E -3.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 18:35
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -15.55%E -3.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 18:30
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -15.55%E -3.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.70%EV -5.41%E -3.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -15.55%E -3.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 18:35
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.70%EV -5.41%E -3.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -15.55%E -3.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.70%EV -5.41%E -3.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -15.55%E -3.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 18:35
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -8.20%E -4.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -15.55%E -3.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-13 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -8.20%E -4.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -15.55%E -3.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-13 18:40
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -8.20%E -4.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -15.55%E -3.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-13 18:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 54.72%EV -11.53%E -7.25%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.91%EV -15.55%E -3.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -14.19%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-13 19:10
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 55.57%EV -13.76%E -8.88%K -25.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.72%EV -15.55%E -3.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.71%EV -12.89%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-13 19:25
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 53.55%EV -6.53%E -3.89%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.99%EV -17.38%E -3.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-06 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.36%EV -12.65%E -8.06%K -22.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.97%EV -17.38%E -3.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.67%EV -16.79%E -5.25%K -7.63%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-13 19:00
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.21%EV -9.87%E -6.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -19.22%E -4.37%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-13 13:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.69%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-03-13 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.69%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-03-13 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.69%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-03-13 19:15
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.69%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-03-13 19:15
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.64%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.5%2026-03-13 19:15