La scuola delle quote

Modena v Reggiana

Inizio: 2026-05-01 13:06 UTC

Finale: Modena 2–1 Reggiana

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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56 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Modena (Casa)

Previsione 59.20%1.69quota equa
EV -4.09%
Vantaggio -2.52%
Kelly -6.59%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.44%59.19%59.31%60.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.471.551.561.6268.03%64.35%64.10%61.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Reggiana (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.10%5.85quota equa
EV +3.13%
Vantaggio +0.520%
Kelly +0.623%
Crescita +0.020%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.03

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.89%17.08%17.05%18.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.295.306.0322.22%18.89%18.87%16.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.69%4.22quota equa
EV +0.691%
Vantaggio +0.163%
Kelly +0.213%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.38%23.73%23.64%25.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.803.804.2530.30%26.29%26.32%23.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -5.27%E -3.30%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.03I 16.58%NM 15.89%EV +3.13%E +0.520%K +0.623%G +0.020%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.20%EV -6.18%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -7.05%E -4.49%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -1.66%E -0.288%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 13:03
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.02%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -1.66%E -0.288%K -0.349%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -6.42%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 13:05
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -5.86%E -3.69%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV -2.51%E -0.440%K -0.534%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 13:03
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.81%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -3.37%E -0.596%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -6.65%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 12:58
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 59.36%EV -8.23%E -5.31%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -4.22%E -0.754%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 12:59
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 59.36%EV -8.23%E -5.31%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -4.22%E -0.754%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 13:03
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.60%EV -7.05%E -4.49%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.02%EV -4.39%E -0.786%K -0.957%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV +0.691%E +0.163%K +0.213%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -4.09%E -2.52%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -5.93%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.29%EV -5.86%E -3.69%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -5.93%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 13:02
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -5.93%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 13:04
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -6.46%E -4.09%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -5.93%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 12:59
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -6.46%E -4.09%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -5.93%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 12:59
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.05%E -4.49%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.93%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -11.16%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 12:59
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.19%E -7.46%K -22.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.93%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 13:05
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -9.42%E -6.15%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.93%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 13:02
Codere (IT)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -7.64%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.86%E -0.698%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 13:02
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -7.05%E -4.49%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -7.64%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 13:04
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.64%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 13:04
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.64%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 13:03
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.64%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 13:04
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.64%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 12:50
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.64%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 13:04
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.64%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 13:04
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.64%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 13:04
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.64%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 13:04
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 59.74%EV -10.01%E -6.58%K -19.25%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 16.97%EV -8.50%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 13:04
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.89%EV -6.46%E -4.09%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -9.35%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.42%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 12:59
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.47%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -9.35%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -11.16%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 13:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.47%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -9.35%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -11.16%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 13:04
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 58.47%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -9.35%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -11.16%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 13:04
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.27%E -3.30%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -10.21%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 13:04
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.10%EV -5.86%E -3.69%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -10.21%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.25%EV -6.46%E -4.09%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -10.21%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.99%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.23%EV -10.21%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.52%E -3.71%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-01 13:04
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -9.42%E -6.15%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -10.21%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-01 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -9.42%E -6.15%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -10.21%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-01 13:05
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.27%EV -10.01%E -6.58%K -19.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -11.06%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.40%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 13:05
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 58.56%EV -9.42%E -6.15%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.23%EV -11.06%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-01 13:04
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.45%EV -11.19%E -7.46%K -22.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.19%EV -12.77%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -14.71%E -4.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-01 13:03
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -6.46%E -4.09%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -14.48%E -2.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -11.16%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 12:59
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -6.46%E -4.09%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -14.48%E -2.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 13:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -7.05%E -4.49%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.48%E -2.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.16%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 13:04
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -7.05%E -4.49%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -14.48%E -2.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 13:03
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -8.23%E -5.31%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -14.48%E -2.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-01 13:04
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -8.23%E -5.31%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -14.48%E -2.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -11.16%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-01 12:59
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.42%E -6.15%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.48%E -2.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-01 12:59
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.42%E -6.15%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.48%E -2.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.42%E -6.15%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.48%E -2.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-01 13:04
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.05%EV -8.23%E -5.31%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -14.48%E -2.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -17.08%E -4.88%K -6.83%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-01 13:04
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -9.42%E -6.15%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -14.48%E -2.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -14.71%E -4.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-01 13:04
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -11.19%E -7.46%K -22.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -14.48%E -2.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -11.16%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-01 13:03
NetBet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.31%EV -12.97%E -8.82%K -27.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.44%EV -14.48%E -2.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -11.16%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.61%EV -11.19%E -7.46%K -22.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -16.19%E -3.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -11.16%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-01 13:05
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 58.29%EV -11.79%E -7.91%K -24.05%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.91%EV -17.05%E -3.52%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.80%EV -13.52%E -3.71%K -5.10%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.44%EV -9.42%E -6.15%K -17.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.85%EV -23.03%E -5.12%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.71%EV -21.82%E -6.61%K -9.49%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-01 13:03
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-01 13:05
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-05-01 13:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.30%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-05-01 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-05-01 13:05
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44%2.3%2026-05-01 13:05