L’École des cotes

Modena v Reggiana

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-01 13:06 UTC

Score final : Modena 2–1 Reggiana

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Modena (Local)

Prévision 59.20%1.69cote équitable
EV -4.09%
Avantage -2.52%
Kelly -6.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.44%59.19%59.31%60.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.551.561.6268.03%64.35%64.10%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Reggiana (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.10%5.85cote équitable
EV +3.13%
Avantage +0.520%
Kelly +0.623%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 6.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.89%17.08%17.05%18.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.295.306.0322.22%18.89%18.87%16.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.69%4.22cote équitable
EV +0.691%
Avantage +0.163%
Kelly +0.213%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.38%23.73%23.64%25.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.803.804.2530.30%26.29%26.32%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -5.27%E -3.30%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.03I 16.58%NM 15.89%EV +3.13%E +0.520%K +0.623%G +0.020%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.20%EV -6.18%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -7.05%E -4.49%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -1.66%E -0.288%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 13:03
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.02%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -1.66%E -0.288%K -0.349%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -6.42%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 13:05
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -5.86%E -3.69%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV -2.51%E -0.440%K -0.534%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 13:03
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.81%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -3.37%E -0.596%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -6.65%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 12:58
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 59.36%EV -8.23%E -5.31%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -4.22%E -0.754%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 12:59
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 59.36%EV -8.23%E -5.31%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -4.22%E -0.754%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 13:03
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.60%EV -7.05%E -4.49%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.02%EV -4.39%E -0.786%K -0.957%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV +0.691%E +0.163%K +0.213%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -4.09%E -2.52%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -5.93%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.29%EV -5.86%E -3.69%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -5.93%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 13:02
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -5.93%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 13:04
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -6.46%E -4.09%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -5.93%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 12:59
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -6.46%E -4.09%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -5.93%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 12:59
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.05%E -4.49%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.93%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -11.16%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 12:59
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.19%E -7.46%K -22.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.93%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 13:05
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -9.42%E -6.15%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.93%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 13:02
Codere (IT)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -7.64%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.86%E -0.698%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 13:02
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -7.05%E -4.49%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -7.64%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 13:04
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.64%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 13:04
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.64%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 13:03
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.64%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 13:04
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.64%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 12:50
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.64%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 13:04
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.64%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 13:04
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.64%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 13:04
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -7.64%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 13:04
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 59.74%EV -10.01%E -6.58%K -19.25%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 16.97%EV -8.50%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 13:04
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.89%EV -6.46%E -4.09%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -9.35%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.42%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 12:59
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.47%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -9.35%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -11.16%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 13:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.47%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -9.35%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -11.16%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 13:04
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 58.47%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -9.35%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -11.16%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 13:04
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.27%E -3.30%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -10.21%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 13:04
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.10%EV -5.86%E -3.69%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -10.21%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.25%EV -6.46%E -4.09%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -10.21%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.99%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.23%EV -10.21%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.52%E -3.71%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-01 13:04
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -9.42%E -6.15%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -10.21%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-01 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -9.42%E -6.15%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -10.21%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-01 13:05
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.27%EV -10.01%E -6.58%K -19.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -11.06%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.40%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 13:05
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 58.56%EV -9.42%E -6.15%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.23%EV -11.06%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-01 13:04
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.45%EV -11.19%E -7.46%K -22.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.19%EV -12.77%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -14.71%E -4.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-01 13:03
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -6.46%E -4.09%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -14.48%E -2.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -11.16%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 12:59
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -6.46%E -4.09%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -14.48%E -2.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 13:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -7.05%E -4.49%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.48%E -2.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.16%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 13:04
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -7.05%E -4.49%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -14.48%E -2.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 13:03
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -8.23%E -5.31%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -14.48%E -2.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-01 13:04
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -8.23%E -5.31%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -14.48%E -2.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -11.16%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-01 12:59
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.42%E -6.15%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.48%E -2.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-01 12:59
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.42%E -6.15%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.48%E -2.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.42%E -6.15%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.48%E -2.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-01 13:04
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.05%EV -8.23%E -5.31%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -14.48%E -2.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -17.08%E -4.88%K -6.83%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-01 13:04
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -9.42%E -6.15%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -14.48%E -2.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -14.71%E -4.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-01 13:04
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -11.19%E -7.46%K -22.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -14.48%E -2.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -11.16%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-01 13:03
NetBet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.31%EV -12.97%E -8.82%K -27.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.44%EV -14.48%E -2.90%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -11.16%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.61%EV -11.19%E -7.46%K -22.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -16.19%E -3.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -11.16%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-01 13:05
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 58.29%EV -11.79%E -7.91%K -24.05%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.91%EV -17.05%E -3.52%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.80%EV -13.52%E -3.71%K -5.10%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.44%EV -9.42%E -6.15%K -17.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.85%EV -23.03%E -5.12%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.71%EV -21.82%E -6.61%K -9.49%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-01 13:03
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-01 13:05
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-05-01 13:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.30%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-05-01 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-05-01 13:05
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44%2.3%2026-05-01 13:05