Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Modena v Avellino

Início: 2026-09-06 13:00 UTC

Final: Modena 0–1 Avellino

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Modena (Local)

Previsão 57.32%1.74odd justa
EV -2.56%
Vantagem -1.50%
Kelly -3.65%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.52%57.22%57.34%59.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.511.631.621.7066.23%61.52%61.73%58.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Avellino (Visitante)

Previsão 17.12%5.84odd justa
EV +7.54%
Vantagem +1.20%
Kelly +1.43%
Crescimento +0.108%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.10%17.15%17.14%19.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.505.195.006.2822.22%19.26%20.00%15.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.56%3.91odd justa
EV -1.61%
Vantagem -0.418%
Kelly -0.564%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.25%25.63%25.52%26.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.563.553.8531.25%28.07%28.17%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Modena (Local): 57.32%; Avellino (Visitante): 17.12%; Empate: 25.56%. Para Avellino (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.84. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.28, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.54%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.00%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.33%EV +7.54%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.108%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.67%EV -7.74%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.52%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV +6.17%E +0.995%K +1.19%G +0.073%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 12:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.52%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV +6.17%E +0.995%K +1.19%G +0.073%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 12:55
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.54%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 15.97%EV +1.71%E +0.289%K +0.347%G +0.006%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.49%EV -4.93%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 12:50
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.69%EV -8.86%E -5.57%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -0.683%E -0.118%K -0.142%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 12:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.31%EV -11.15%E -7.20%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -0.683%E -0.118%K -0.142%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 12:55
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.15%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -1.54%E -0.268%K -0.324%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 12:45
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -1.54%E -0.268%K -0.324%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -3.25%E -0.576%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 12:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.18%EV -6.00%E -3.66%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.11%E -0.734%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -1.61%E -0.418%K -0.564%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 12:25
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -5.82%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 12:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.82%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 12:25
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -5.82%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 12:45
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -10.01%E -6.37%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -5.82%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 12:49
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -10.01%E -6.37%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -5.82%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 12:48
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -6.00%E -3.66%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -7.53%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 12:55
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -6.00%E -3.66%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -7.53%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 12:55
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.26%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -9.24%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 12:25
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.26%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -9.24%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 12:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.07%EV -12.30%E -8.04%K -23.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.47%EV -9.24%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -15.66%E -4.75%K -6.81%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-06 12:54
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.27%EV -2.56%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -10.10%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 12:25
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -10.10%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 12:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.02%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -10.10%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -13.11%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 12:35
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.33%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.17%EV -10.10%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -13.11%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 12:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.09%EV -13.45%E -8.91%K -26.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.20%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-06 12:35
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -2.56%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -2.56%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:20
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -2.56%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -2.56%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:20
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -2.56%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:20
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -2.56%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -2.56%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:20
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -2.56%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -2.56%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 12:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -9.43%E -5.97%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 12:25
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 12:40
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 12:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 12:40
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -10.01%E -6.37%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 12:30
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -10.01%E -6.37%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 12:45
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -10.01%E -6.37%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -13.11%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 12:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.28%EV -10.58%E -6.78%K -18.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.24%EV -16.09%E -3.28%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 12:25
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -17.81%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 12:25
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.81%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -17.81%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 12:20
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -17.81%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 12:20
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.88%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -18.66%E -3.93%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 12:25
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.57%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -18.66%E -3.93%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -13.11%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 12:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -19.52%E -4.15%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.54%EV -6.57%E -4.03%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.92%EV -19.52%E -4.15%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -14.39%E -4.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.70%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.85%EV -19.52%E -4.15%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -14.39%E -4.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.70%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.85%EV -19.52%E -4.15%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -14.39%E -4.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 12:20
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -21.23%E -4.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 12:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 54.52%EV -10.58%E -6.78%K -18.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.90%EV -22.94%E -5.10%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.58%EV -18.22%E -5.69%K -8.28%G +0.000%17.6%2026-09-06 12:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-09-06 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-09-06 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-09-06 12:50
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-09-06 12:50
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.23%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%1.6%2026-09-06 12:50