Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Modena v Avellino

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-06 13:00 UTC

Score final : Modena 0–1 Avellino

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Modena (Local)

Prévision 57.32%1.74cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -1.50%
Kelly -3.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.52%57.22%57.34%59.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.511.631.621.7066.23%61.52%61.73%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Avellino (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.12%5.84cote équitable
EV +7.54%
Avantage +1.20%
Kelly +1.43%
Croissance +0.108%

avec la cote maximale 6.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.10%17.15%17.14%19.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.195.006.2822.22%19.26%20.00%15.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.56%3.91cote équitable
EV -1.61%
Avantage -0.418%
Kelly -0.564%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.25%25.63%25.52%26.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.563.553.8531.25%28.07%28.17%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Modena (Local) : 57.32% ; Avellino (Visiteur) : 17.12% ; Match nul : 25.56%. Pour Avellino (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.84. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.28, soit une espérance positive de +7.54%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.00%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.33%EV +7.54%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.108%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.67%EV -7.74%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.52%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV +6.17%E +0.995%K +1.19%G +0.073%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 12:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.52%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV +6.17%E +0.995%K +1.19%G +0.073%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 12:55
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.54%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 15.97%EV +1.71%E +0.289%K +0.347%G +0.006%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.49%EV -4.93%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 12:50
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.69%EV -8.86%E -5.57%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -0.683%E -0.118%K -0.142%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 12:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.31%EV -11.15%E -7.20%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -0.683%E -0.118%K -0.142%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 12:55
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.15%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -1.54%E -0.268%K -0.324%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 12:45
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -1.54%E -0.268%K -0.324%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -3.25%E -0.576%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 12:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.18%EV -6.00%E -3.66%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.11%E -0.734%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -1.61%E -0.418%K -0.564%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 12:25
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -5.82%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 12:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.82%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 12:25
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -5.82%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 12:45
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -10.01%E -6.37%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -5.82%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 12:49
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -10.01%E -6.37%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -5.82%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 12:48
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -6.00%E -3.66%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -7.53%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 12:55
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -6.00%E -3.66%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -7.53%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 12:55
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.26%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -9.24%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 12:25
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.26%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -9.24%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 12:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.07%EV -12.30%E -8.04%K -23.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.47%EV -9.24%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -15.66%E -4.75%K -6.81%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-06 12:54
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.27%EV -2.56%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -10.10%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 12:25
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -10.10%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 12:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.02%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -10.10%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -13.11%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 12:35
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.33%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.17%EV -10.10%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -13.11%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 12:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.09%EV -13.45%E -8.91%K -26.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.20%EV -12.67%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-06 12:35
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -2.56%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -2.56%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:20
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -2.56%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -2.56%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:20
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -2.56%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:20
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -2.56%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -2.56%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:20
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -2.56%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -2.56%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 12:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -9.43%E -5.97%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 12:25
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 12:40
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 12:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 12:40
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -10.01%E -6.37%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 12:30
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -10.01%E -6.37%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 12:45
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -10.01%E -6.37%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -13.11%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 12:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.28%EV -10.58%E -6.78%K -18.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.24%EV -16.09%E -3.28%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 12:25
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -17.81%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 12:25
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.81%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -17.81%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 12:20
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -17.81%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 12:20
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.88%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -18.66%E -3.93%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 12:25
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.57%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -18.66%E -3.93%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -13.11%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 12:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -19.52%E -4.15%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.54%EV -6.57%E -4.03%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.92%EV -19.52%E -4.15%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -14.39%E -4.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.70%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.85%EV -19.52%E -4.15%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -14.39%E -4.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.70%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.85%EV -19.52%E -4.15%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -14.39%E -4.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 12:20
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -21.23%E -4.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 12:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 54.52%EV -10.58%E -6.78%K -18.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.90%EV -22.94%E -5.10%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.58%EV -18.22%E -5.69%K -8.28%G +0.000%17.6%2026-09-06 12:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-09-06 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-09-06 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-09-06 12:50
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-09-06 12:50
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.23%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%1.6%2026-09-06 12:50