L’École des cotes

Mantova v Sampdoria

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mantova (Local)

Prévision 31.11%3.21cote équitable
EV +6.39%
Avantage +1.87%
Kelly +2.64%
Croissance +0.169%

avec la cote maximale 3.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.76%31.11%31.11%33.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.932.903.4236.36%34.18%34.48%29.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sampdoria (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.25%2.68cote équitable
EV -2.04%
Avantage -0.776%
Kelly -1.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.73%37.29%37.20%40.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.482.452.6347.62%40.26%40.82%38.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.65%3.16cote équitable
EV -1.90%
Avantage -0.612%
Kelly -0.904%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.42%31.60%31.68%32.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.892.883.1039.22%34.61%34.72%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.76%EV +6.39%E +1.87%K +2.64%G +0.169%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.72%EV -10.98%E -4.59%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.51%EV -7.59%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 13:55
Pinnacle3.20I 31.25%NM 30.22%EV -0.455%E -0.142%K -0.207%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.33%EV -3.53%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.45%EV -5.70%E -1.91%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 13:50
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -0.455%E -0.142%K -0.207%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -11.35%E -4.77%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -9.81%E -3.44%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 13:55
LowVig.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.26%EV -1.70%E -0.538%K -0.787%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.77%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.97%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 13:55
BetOnline.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.26%EV -1.70%E -0.538%K -0.787%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.77%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.97%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 13:55
Marathon Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -2.01%E -0.638%K -0.935%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.37%EV -9.49%E -3.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.04%EV -7.91%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 13:55
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -2.01%E -0.638%K -0.935%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.30%EV -10.24%E -4.25%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -9.81%E -3.44%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 13:55
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -3.57%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 13:55
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.57%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 13:44
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -3.57%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 13:45
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.35%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.78%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 13:40
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.03%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -6.65%E -2.25%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 13:50
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -1.90%E -0.612%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 13:30
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.65%E -2.25%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 13:40
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 13:45
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.61%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -21.78%E -10.37%K -19.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -12.97%E -4.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%17.3%2026-02-21 13:55
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -7.30%E -2.45%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -6.14%E -2.44%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.86%EV -7.59%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 13:40
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -7.30%E -2.45%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -6.14%E -2.44%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.86%EV -7.59%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 13:40
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -8.23%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -6.65%E -2.25%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 13:35
theScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.23%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.65%E -2.25%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 13:30
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -9.79%E -3.38%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 13:30
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.79%E -3.38%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.65%E -2.25%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 13:30
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.79%E -3.38%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 13:50
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.79%E -3.38%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.61%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 13:55
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.79%E -3.38%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.61%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 13:54
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.79%E -3.38%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.61%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 13:55
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.79%E -3.38%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.61%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 13:55
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.79%E -3.38%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.61%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -12.97%E -4.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-21 13:45
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -10.41%E -3.61%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.61%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-21 13:35
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -10.41%E -3.61%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -14.33%E -6.23%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-21 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.29%EV -10.72%E -3.74%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.42%EV -10.61%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.29%EV -9.18%E -3.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 13:35
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.29%EV -10.72%E -3.74%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.42%EV -10.61%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.29%EV -9.18%E -3.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 13:35
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -11.34%E -3.98%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -6.65%E -2.25%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 13:40
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -11.34%E -3.98%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 13:30
Betclic (FR)2.83I 35.34%NM 31.03%EV -11.97%E -4.23%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.37%EV -12.47%E -5.31%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.59%EV -12.03%E -4.33%K -6.76%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-21 13:38
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:20
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:20
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:20
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:20
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:20
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:20
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:20
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:20
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:20
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:20
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:20
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -10.61%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -1.90%E -0.612%K -0.904%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 13:40
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.16%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.12%EV -12.47%E -5.31%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.72%EV -12.97%E -4.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-21 13:40
NetBet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.01%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.42%EV -13.59%E -5.86%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.57%EV -12.97%E -4.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-21 13:40
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 29.92%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.23%EV -16.20%E -7.20%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.85%EV -19.30%E -7.57%K -12.45%G +0.000%19.4%2026-02-21 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -14.45%E -5.26%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.73%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.05%EV -9.81%E -3.44%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 13:20
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -14.45%E -5.26%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -9.81%E -3.44%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 08:59
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -14.45%E -5.26%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -9.81%E -3.44%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 09:00
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.72%EV -14.45%E -5.26%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.12%EV -12.47%E -5.31%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.16%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-21 13:41
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.72%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.42%0.4%2026-02-21 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.63%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.57%0.6%2026-02-21 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.18%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%0.8%2026-02-21 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.18%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%0.8%2026-02-21 13:55
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.83%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.23%1.7%2026-02-21 13:55