La escuela de los momios

Mantova v Sampdoria

Inicio: 2026-02-21 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Mantova (Local)

Predicción 31.11%3.21momio equitativo
EV +6.39%
Ventaja +1.87%
Kelly +2.64%
Crecimiento +0.169%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.76%31.11%31.11%33.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.932.903.4236.36%34.18%34.48%29.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sampdoria (Visitante)

Predicción 37.25%2.68momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -0.776%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.73%37.29%37.20%40.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.482.452.6347.62%40.26%40.82%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.65%3.16momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -0.612%
Kelly -0.904%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.42%31.60%31.68%32.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.892.883.1039.22%34.61%34.72%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.76%EV +6.39%E +1.87%K +2.64%G +0.169%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.72%EV -10.98%E -4.59%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.51%EV -7.59%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 13:55
Pinnacle3.20I 31.25%NM 30.22%EV -0.455%E -0.142%K -0.207%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.33%EV -3.53%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.45%EV -5.70%E -1.91%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 13:50
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -0.455%E -0.142%K -0.207%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -11.35%E -4.77%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -9.81%E -3.44%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 13:55
LowVig.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.26%EV -1.70%E -0.538%K -0.787%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.77%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.97%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 13:55
BetOnline.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.26%EV -1.70%E -0.538%K -0.787%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.77%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.97%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 13:55
Marathon Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -2.01%E -0.638%K -0.935%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.37%EV -9.49%E -3.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.04%EV -7.91%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 13:55
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -2.01%E -0.638%K -0.935%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.30%EV -10.24%E -4.25%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -9.81%E -3.44%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 13:55
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -3.57%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 13:55
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.57%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 13:44
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -3.57%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 13:45
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.35%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.78%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 13:40
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.03%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -6.65%E -2.25%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 13:50
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -1.90%E -0.612%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 13:30
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.65%E -2.25%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 13:40
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 13:45
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.61%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -21.78%E -10.37%K -19.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -12.97%E -4.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%17.3%2026-02-21 13:55
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -7.30%E -2.45%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -6.14%E -2.44%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.86%EV -7.59%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 13:40
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -7.30%E -2.45%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -6.14%E -2.44%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.86%EV -7.59%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 13:40
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -8.23%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -6.65%E -2.25%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 13:35
theScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.23%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.65%E -2.25%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 13:30
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -9.79%E -3.38%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 13:30
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.79%E -3.38%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.65%E -2.25%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 13:30
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.79%E -3.38%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 13:50
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.79%E -3.38%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.61%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 13:55
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.79%E -3.38%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.61%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 13:54
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.79%E -3.38%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.61%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 13:55
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.79%E -3.38%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.61%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 13:55
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.79%E -3.38%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.61%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -12.97%E -4.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-21 13:45
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -10.41%E -3.61%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.61%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-21 13:35
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -10.41%E -3.61%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -14.33%E -6.23%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-21 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.29%EV -10.72%E -3.74%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.42%EV -10.61%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.29%EV -9.18%E -3.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 13:35
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.29%EV -10.72%E -3.74%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.42%EV -10.61%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.29%EV -9.18%E -3.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 13:35
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -11.34%E -3.98%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -6.65%E -2.25%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 13:40
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -11.34%E -3.98%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 13:30
Betclic (FR)2.83I 35.34%NM 31.03%EV -11.97%E -4.23%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.37%EV -12.47%E -5.31%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.59%EV -12.03%E -4.33%K -6.76%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-21 13:38
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:20
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:20
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:20
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:20
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:20
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:20
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:20
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:20
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:20
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:20
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:20
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -10.61%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -1.90%E -0.612%K -0.904%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 13:40
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.16%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.12%EV -12.47%E -5.31%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.72%EV -12.97%E -4.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-21 13:40
NetBet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.01%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.42%EV -13.59%E -5.86%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.57%EV -12.97%E -4.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-21 13:40
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 29.92%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.23%EV -16.20%E -7.20%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.85%EV -19.30%E -7.57%K -12.45%G +0.000%19.4%2026-02-21 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -14.45%E -5.26%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.73%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.05%EV -9.81%E -3.44%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 13:20
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -14.45%E -5.26%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -9.81%E -3.44%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 08:59
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -14.45%E -5.26%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -9.81%E -3.44%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 09:00
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.72%EV -14.45%E -5.26%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.12%EV -12.47%E -5.31%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.16%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-21 13:41
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.72%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.42%0.4%2026-02-21 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.63%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.57%0.6%2026-02-21 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.18%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%0.8%2026-02-21 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.18%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%0.8%2026-02-21 13:55
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.83%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.23%1.7%2026-02-21 13:55