A Escola das Oddsodds.school
Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Mantova v Pisa

Início: 2026-09-20 15:18 UTC

Final: Mantova 2–2 Pisa

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mantova (Local)

Previsão 35.05%2.85odd justa
EV -1.85%
Vantagem -0.662%
Kelly -1.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.79%35.06%35.00%36.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.612.602.8041.67%38.33%38.46%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pisa (Visitante)

Previsão 35.85%2.79odd justa
EV -0.332%
Vantagem -0.119%
Kelly -0.186%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.13%35.74%35.94%36.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.552.552.7842.55%39.25%39.22%35.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.10%3.44odd justa
EV -1.07%
Vantagem -0.316%
Kelly -0.447%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.91%29.19%29.07%30.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.133.153.4034.48%31.93%31.75%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Mantova (Local): 35.05%; Pisa (Visitante): 35.85%; Empate: 29.10%. Para Pisa (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.79. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.78, com valor esperado de -0.332%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -1.85%E -0.662%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -4.99%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 15:11
Pinnacle🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.20%EV -3.61%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.82%EV -0.332%E -0.119%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.97%EV -6.02%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 15:05
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -3.61%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -3.98%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 14:49
1xBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.66%EV -3.96%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22%EV -5.44%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 15:11
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.48%EV -4.66%E -1.71%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.26%EV -4.63%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 14:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.48%EV -4.66%E -1.71%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.26%EV -4.63%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 14:54
BetUS🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.48%EV -4.66%E -1.71%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.26%EV -4.63%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 14:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.36%E -1.99%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -4.99%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -3.98%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.36%E -1.99%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.44%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 14:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.36%E -1.99%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.44%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.36%E -1.99%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.44%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 15:14
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.36%E -1.99%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 15:14
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.36%E -1.99%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 15:15
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -5.36%E -1.99%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 15:15
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -5.36%E -1.99%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 15:15
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -5.36%E -1.99%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -12.71%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 15:10
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -4.99%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -1.07%E -0.316%K -0.447%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 15:11
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -7.81%E -2.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -15.62%E -5.39%K -8.22%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 15:11
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -8.16%E -3.12%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 14:54
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.97%EV -8.16%E -3.12%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 15:14
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.97%EV -8.16%E -3.12%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 15:14
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.16%E -3.12%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.71%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 14:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.16%E -3.12%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.71%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 14:50
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -8.16%E -3.12%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -12.71%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 15:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -8.16%E -3.12%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -12.71%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 15:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -8.16%E -3.12%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -12.71%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-20 15:15
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -8.16%E -3.12%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -15.62%E -5.39%K -8.22%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 15:11
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.87%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.44%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 11:09
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.87%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 15:15
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -8.87%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -8.87%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:29
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -8.87%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -8.87%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:29
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -8.87%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:29
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -8.87%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:29
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -8.87%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:29
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -8.87%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 15:11
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -8.87%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.31%EV -11.09%E -4.47%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 14:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -10.62%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 15:11
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -10.62%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -5.44%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 15:11
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -10.62%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -5.44%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 15:15
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.62%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 14:58
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -10.62%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.08%EV -10.62%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.07%EV -11.09%E -4.47%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-17 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.08%EV -10.62%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.07%EV -11.09%E -4.47%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-17 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.76%EV -10.62%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.18%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -11.26%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 14:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 34.68%EV -11.32%E -4.47%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.56%EV -13.96%E -5.81%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -11.26%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-20 15:15
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -12.37%E -4.95%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -5.44%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -12.37%E -4.95%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 15:11
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.37%E -4.95%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-20 14:25
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.37%E -4.95%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-20 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.54%EV -12.37%E -4.95%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -12.16%E -4.96%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-20 15:14
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 35.57%EV -13.42%E -5.43%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.14%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.29%EV -12.71%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-20 15:11
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.81%EV -14.12%E -5.76%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.29%EV -15.75%E -6.70%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.91%EV -14.17%E -4.80%K -7.26%G +0.000%17.3%2026-09-20 14:29
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -15.88%E -6.61%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -13.96%E -5.81%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-20 15:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.37%EV -15.88%E -6.61%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.37%EV -13.96%E -5.81%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.27%EV -15.62%E -5.39%K -8.22%G +0.000%17.8%2026-09-20 15:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.87%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%1.0%2026-09-20 15:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.87%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%1.0%2026-09-20 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.87%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%1.0%2026-09-20 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.87%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%1.0%2026-09-20 15:15
Matchbook◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.41%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.22%1.8%2026-09-20 15:15