A Escola das Odds

Mantova v Carrarese

Início: 2026-03-01 16:17 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Mantova (Local)

Previsão 34.66%2.89odd justa
EV -0.874%
Vantagem -0.305%
Kelly -0.470%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.69%34.64%34.69%36.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.642.622.8641.67%37.88%38.17%34.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Carrarese (Visitante)

Previsão 34.49%2.90odd justa
EV -0.658%
Vantagem -0.228%
Kelly -0.350%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.45%34.53%34.52%36.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.662.702.8843.48%37.64%37.04%34.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.85%3.24odd justa
EV -1.29%
Vantagem -0.403%
Kelly -0.587%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.48%30.83%30.78%32.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.963.003.2038.46%33.77%33.33%31.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.86I 34.97%NM 33.87%EV -0.874%E -0.305%K -0.470%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.63%EV -0.658%E -0.228%K -0.350%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.50%EV -8.08%E -2.71%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 16:14
BetOnline.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.71%EV -1.22%E -0.428%K -0.660%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.71%EV -1.69%E -0.594%K -0.915%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.57%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 16:14
LowVig.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.71%EV -1.22%E -0.428%K -0.660%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.71%EV -1.69%E -0.594%K -0.915%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.57%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 16:15
Marathon Bet2.77I 36.10%NM 33.68%EV -3.99%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.05%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.28%EV -10.85%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 16:14
1xBet2.76I 36.23%NM 34.41%EV -4.34%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.05%EV -6.52%E -2.41%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.54%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 16:14
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 16:14
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -3.42%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 16:13
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -2.83%E -0.900%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 16:15
theScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -2.83%E -0.900%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 16:14
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 16:14
Bovada2.74I 36.50%NM 33.68%EV -5.03%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.93%EV -6.18%E -2.27%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -12.09%E -4.24%K -6.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 16:14
BetUS2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -5.73%E -2.11%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -6.18%E -2.27%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -11.16%E -3.88%K -5.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 16:13
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.22%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.58%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -2.83%E -0.900%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 16:13
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -5.92%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 16:14
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 16:13
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 16:14
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 16:14
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 16:14
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 16:14
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -7.11%E -2.65%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -7.56%E -2.82%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 16:14
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -7.11%E -2.65%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -7.56%E -2.82%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 16:14
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -8.15%E -3.08%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 16:14
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.15%E -3.08%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 16:14
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.15%E -3.08%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 16:14
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -8.85%E -3.36%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -13.77%E -5.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -11.16%E -3.88%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-01 16:14
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.68%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.66%EV -11.47%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 16:14
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -9.63%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -13.63%E -4.87%K -7.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -13.77%E -5.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.83%EV -11.47%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-01 16:15
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -13.77%E -5.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.83%EV -11.47%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-01 16:15
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 16:14
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 16:14
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 16:12
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 16:15
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 16:14
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 16:14
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 16:14
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 16:14
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 16:14
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 16:15
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 16:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.45%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 16:15
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -5.92%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 16:14
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 16:14
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.08%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.69%EV -9.28%E -3.53%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -15.17%E -5.52%K -8.67%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-01 16:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.69%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.95%EV -20.66%E -8.98%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.36%EV -13.63%E -4.87%K -7.57%G +0.000%17.7%2026-03-01 16:14
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -11.62%E -4.56%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 16:14
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -11.62%E -4.56%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 16:14
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -11.62%E -4.56%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.21%EV -9.28%E -3.53%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 16:14
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 35.25%EV -12.31%E -4.87%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.30%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.44%EV -9.62%E -3.28%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 16:13
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -13.35%E -5.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -1.29%E -0.403%K -0.587%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 16:14
Parions Sport (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.18%EV -13.35%E -5.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.49%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-01 16:14
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -13.35%E -5.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -13.77%E -5.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-01 16:14
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.16%EV -15.08%E -6.16%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.52%EV -11.35%E -4.42%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.32%EV -15.17%E -5.52%K -8.67%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-01 16:14
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 33.99%EV -15.08%E -6.16%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 33.99%EV -15.49%E -6.32%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.03%EV -19.80%E -7.62%K -12.37%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-01 16:15
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 35.37%EV -16.82%E -7.01%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.37%EV -17.21%E -7.17%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.27%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-01 16:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.56%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-03-01 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-03-01 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-03-01 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-03-01 16:15
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.30%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-03-01 16:15