L’École des cotes

Mantova v Carrarese

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 16:17 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mantova (Local)

Prévision 34.66%2.89cote équitable
EV -0.874%
Avantage -0.305%
Kelly -0.470%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.69%34.64%34.69%36.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.642.622.8641.67%37.88%38.17%34.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Carrarese (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.49%2.90cote équitable
EV -0.658%
Avantage -0.228%
Kelly -0.350%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.45%34.53%34.52%36.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.662.702.8843.48%37.64%37.04%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.85%3.24cote équitable
EV -1.29%
Avantage -0.403%
Kelly -0.587%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.48%30.83%30.78%32.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.963.003.2038.46%33.77%33.33%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.86I 34.97%NM 33.87%EV -0.874%E -0.305%K -0.470%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.63%EV -0.658%E -0.228%K -0.350%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.50%EV -8.08%E -2.71%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 16:14
BetOnline.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.71%EV -1.22%E -0.428%K -0.660%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.71%EV -1.69%E -0.594%K -0.915%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.57%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 16:14
LowVig.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.71%EV -1.22%E -0.428%K -0.660%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.71%EV -1.69%E -0.594%K -0.915%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.57%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 16:15
Marathon Bet2.77I 36.10%NM 33.68%EV -3.99%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.05%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.28%EV -10.85%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 16:14
1xBet2.76I 36.23%NM 34.41%EV -4.34%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.05%EV -6.52%E -2.41%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.54%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 16:14
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 16:14
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -3.42%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 16:13
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -2.83%E -0.900%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 16:15
theScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -2.83%E -0.900%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 16:14
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 16:14
Bovada2.74I 36.50%NM 33.68%EV -5.03%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.93%EV -6.18%E -2.27%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -12.09%E -4.24%K -6.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 16:14
BetUS2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -5.73%E -2.11%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -6.18%E -2.27%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -11.16%E -3.88%K -5.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 16:13
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.22%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.58%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -2.83%E -0.900%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 16:13
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -5.92%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 16:14
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 16:13
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 16:14
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 16:14
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 16:14
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 16:14
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -7.11%E -2.65%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -7.56%E -2.82%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 16:14
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -7.11%E -2.65%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -7.56%E -2.82%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 16:14
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -8.15%E -3.08%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 16:14
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.15%E -3.08%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 16:14
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.15%E -3.08%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 16:14
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -8.85%E -3.36%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -13.77%E -5.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -11.16%E -3.88%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-01 16:14
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.68%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.66%EV -11.47%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 16:14
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -9.63%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -13.63%E -4.87%K -7.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -13.77%E -5.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.83%EV -11.47%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-01 16:15
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -13.77%E -5.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.83%EV -11.47%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-01 16:15
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 16:14
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 16:14
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 16:12
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 16:15
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 16:14
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 16:14
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 16:14
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 16:14
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 16:14
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 16:15
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 16:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.45%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 16:15
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -5.92%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 16:14
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 16:14
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.08%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.69%EV -9.28%E -3.53%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -15.17%E -5.52%K -8.67%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-01 16:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.69%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.95%EV -20.66%E -8.98%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.36%EV -13.63%E -4.87%K -7.57%G +0.000%17.7%2026-03-01 16:14
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -11.62%E -4.56%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 16:14
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -11.62%E -4.56%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 16:14
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -11.62%E -4.56%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.21%EV -9.28%E -3.53%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 16:14
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 35.25%EV -12.31%E -4.87%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.30%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.44%EV -9.62%E -3.28%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 16:13
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -13.35%E -5.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -1.29%E -0.403%K -0.587%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 16:14
Parions Sport (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.18%EV -13.35%E -5.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.49%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-01 16:14
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -13.35%E -5.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -13.77%E -5.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-01 16:14
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.16%EV -15.08%E -6.16%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.52%EV -11.35%E -4.42%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.32%EV -15.17%E -5.52%K -8.67%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-01 16:14
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 33.99%EV -15.08%E -6.16%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 33.99%EV -15.49%E -6.32%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.03%EV -19.80%E -7.62%K -12.37%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-01 16:15
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 35.37%EV -16.82%E -7.01%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.37%EV -17.21%E -7.17%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.27%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-01 16:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.56%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-03-01 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-03-01 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-03-01 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-03-01 16:15
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.30%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-03-01 16:15