La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Mantova v Carrarese
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mantova (Local)
Predicción 34.66%2.89momio equitativo
EV -0.874%
Ventaja -0.305%
Kelly -0.470%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.69%34.64%34.69%36.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.642.622.8641.67%37.88%38.17%34.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Carrarese (Visitante)
Predicción 34.49%2.90momio equitativo
EV -0.658%
Ventaja -0.228%
Kelly -0.350%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.45%34.53%34.52%36.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.662.702.8843.48%37.64%37.04%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.85%3.24momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -0.403%
Kelly -0.587%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.48%30.83%30.78%32.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.963.003.2038.46%33.77%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.87%EV -0.874%E -0.305%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.63%EV -0.658%E -0.228%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.50%EV -8.08%E -2.71%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.71%EV -1.22%E -0.428%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.71%EV -1.69%E -0.594%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.57%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.71%EV -1.22%E -0.428%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.71%EV -1.69%E -0.594%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.57%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.68%EV -3.99%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.05%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.28%EV -10.85%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| 1xBet | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.41%EV -4.34%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.05%EV -6.52%E -2.41%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.54%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| FanDuel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -3.42%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 16:13 |
| DraftKings | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -2.83%E -0.900%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-01 16:15 |
| theScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -2.83%E -0.900%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| BetMGM | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Bovada | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.68%EV -5.03%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.93%EV -6.18%E -2.27%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -12.09%E -4.24%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| BetUS | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -5.73%E -2.11%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -6.18%E -2.27%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -11.16%E -3.88%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-01 16:13 |
| Coolbet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.22%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.58%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -2.83%E -0.900%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 16:13 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -5.92%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 16:13 |
| 888sport | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| William Hill | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -7.11%E -2.65%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -7.56%E -2.82%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Betsson | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -7.11%E -2.65%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -7.56%E -2.82%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -8.15%E -3.08%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.15%E -3.08%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Bet Right | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.15%E -3.08%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Neds | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -8.85%E -3.36%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -13.77%E -5.51%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -11.16%E -3.88%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.68%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.66%EV -11.47%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -9.63%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -13.63%E -4.87%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -13.77%E -5.51%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.83%EV -11.47%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-01 16:15 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -13.77%E -5.51%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.83%EV -11.47%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-01 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| BetRivers | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 16:12 |
| Grosvenor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 16:15 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| betPARX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.45%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 16:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -5.92%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Sky Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.08%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.69%EV -9.28%E -3.53%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -15.17%E -5.52%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.69%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.95%EV -20.66%E -8.98%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.36%EV -13.63%E -4.87%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -11.62%E -4.56%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -11.62%E -4.56%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -11.62%E -4.56%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.21%EV -9.28%E -3.53%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.53I 39.53%NM 35.25%EV -12.31%E -4.87%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.30%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.44%EV -9.62%E -3.28%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-01 16:13 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -13.35%E -5.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -1.29%E -0.403%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.18%EV -13.35%E -5.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.49%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -13.35%E -5.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -13.77%E -5.51%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.16%EV -15.08%E -6.16%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.52%EV -11.35%E -4.42%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.32%EV -15.17%E -5.52%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 33.99%EV -15.08%E -6.16%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 33.99%EV -15.49%E -6.32%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.03%EV -19.80%E -7.62%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-03-01 16:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.37%EV -16.82%E -7.01%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.37%EV -17.21%E -7.17%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.27%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.56% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 0.5% | 2026-03-01 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 16:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.30% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 16:15 |