The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Juve Stabia v Südtirol

Kickoff: 2026-10-18 13:03 UTC

Final: Juve Stabia 3–0 Südtirol

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Juve Stabia (Local)

Prediction 42.97%2.33fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.31%42.93%42.90%44.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.142.152.2652.63%46.75%46.51%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Südtirol (Visit)

Prediction 27.68%3.61fair odd
EV +1.04%
Edge +0.285%
Kelly +0.393%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.44%27.71%27.78%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.323.303.6532.26%30.15%30.30%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.35%3.41fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -0.951%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.14%29.36%29.32%30.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.113.153.3034.48%32.18%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juve Stabia (Local): 42.97%; Südtirol (Visit): 27.68%; Draw: 29.35%. For Südtirol (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.99%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.50%EV +1.04%E +0.285%K +0.393%G +0.004%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.51%EV -6.95%E -2.19%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-18 12:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.11%EV -9.34%E -4.43%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.44%EV -2.56%E -0.727%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.45%EV -7.25%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-18 12:35
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.91%EV -6.76%E -3.12%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.11%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -3.14%E -0.951%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 12:49
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.11%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 12:35
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.62%E -3.55%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.50%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-18 12:24
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.62%E -3.55%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.50%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-18 12:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.62%E -3.55%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.50%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-18 12:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.62%E -3.55%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.50%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-18 12:24
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.62%E -3.55%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.50%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-18 12:24
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.62%E -3.55%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.50%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-18 12:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.62%E -3.55%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.50%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-18 12:24
betPARX🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.62%E -3.55%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.50%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-18 12:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.62%E -3.55%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.50%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-18 12:24
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 12:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.81%EV -4.62%E -2.08%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-18 12:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 12:54
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.62%E -3.55%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-18 12:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.77%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 12:49
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.77%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 12:50
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.62%E -3.55%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 12:49
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.62%E -3.55%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 12:49
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.03%EV -2.90%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.10%EV -6.43%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.87%EV -6.66%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 12:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.02%EV -3.76%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -7.26%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 12:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.02%EV -3.76%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -7.26%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 12:54
BetUS🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.02%EV -3.76%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -7.26%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 12:55
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.26%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 12:54
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -9.77%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.26%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-18 12:50
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 12:54
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.62%E -3.55%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 12:54
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.62%E -3.55%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 12:54
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 12:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 12:54
picklebet_au🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.77%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-18 12:54
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.77%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-18 12:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.77%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-18 12:50
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.25%EV -10.63%E -5.11%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -10.48%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-18 12:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.48%EV -11.49%E -5.58%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -10.48%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-18 12:24
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.77%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -14.88%E -5.13%K -7.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-18 12:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.77%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -14.88%E -5.13%K -7.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-18 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.92%E -5.81%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-18 12:24
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.03%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 12:34
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -9.77%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.03%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -14.88%E -5.13%K -7.83%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-18 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.33%EV -12.35%E -6.05%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -10.03%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-18 12:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.36%EV -13.21%E -6.54%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.95%EV -10.03%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -13.41%E -4.55%K -6.88%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-18 12:54
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-18 12:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.77%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-18 12:54
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -14.07%E -7.03%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-18 12:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -9.77%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -12.80%E -4.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-18 12:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 43.08%EV -12.78%E -6.30%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.76%EV -12.80%E -4.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-18 12:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 43.51%EV -15.79%E -8.05%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.08%EV -12.80%E -4.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.41%EV -14.88%E -5.13%K -7.83%G +0.000%17.2%2026-10-18 12:24
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -7.62%E -3.55%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -13.63%E -4.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 12:54
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -7.62%E -3.55%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.19%EV -13.63%E -4.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-18 12:53
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -14.19%E -4.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-18 12:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -14.19%E -4.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-18 12:54
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.62%E -3.55%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.19%E -4.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-18 12:34
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.62%E -3.55%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.19%E -4.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-18 12:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.62%E -3.55%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.19%E -4.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-18 12:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 44.31%EV -18.36%E -9.67%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.16%EV -14.19%E -4.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.54%EV -13.41%E -4.55%K -6.88%G +0.000%18.8%2026-10-18 12:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.92%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-10-18 12:54
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%0.5%2026-10-18 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-10-18 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-10-18 12:50
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-10-18 12:55