Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Juve Stabia v Südtirol

2026-10-18 13:00 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Juve Stabia (Local)

Predicción 43.88%2.28momio equitativo
EV -4.34%
Ventaja -1.99%
Kelly -3.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.46%43.80%43.96%45.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.852.102.102.1854.05%47.66%47.62%45.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Südtirol (Visitante)

Predicción 27.73%3.61momio equitativo
EV -3.49%
Ventaja -1.00%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.96%27.76%27.73%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.263.303.4833.33%30.67%30.30%28.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 28.38%3.52momio equitativo
EV -3.49%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -1.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.69%28.44%28.31%29.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.953.193.203.4033.90%31.40%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Juve Stabia (Local): 43.88%; Südtirol (Visitante): 27.73%; Empate: 28.38%. Para Südtirol (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.61. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 3.48, con un valor esperado de -3.49%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -4.34%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-11 13:14
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -4.34%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-11 13:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -4.34%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-11 13:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -4.34%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-11 13:14
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -4.34%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-11 13:15
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -4.34%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-11 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -4.34%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-11 13:15
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -4.34%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-11 13:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -4.34%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-11 13:14
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.33%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.39%EV -3.49%E -1.00%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.28%EV -4.34%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 14:30
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.49%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 13:30
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 13:39
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.10%EV -6.97%E -3.29%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%EV -7.65%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.82%EV -4.63%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 14:14
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -6.97%E -3.29%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.25%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-11 13:15
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.02%EV -7.93%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.69%EV -4.63%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 14:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-11 13:24
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-11 13:33
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -7.75%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-11 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 13:19
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.75%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 13:24
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.75%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 13:29
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 13:20
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 13:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.25%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-11 18:05
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-11 14:14
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-11 14:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-11 14:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-11 14:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -12.64%E -4.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -13.43%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-11 13:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -12.64%E -4.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -13.43%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-11 13:14
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.72%E -4.19%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 13:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.69%EV -8.72%E -4.19%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.19%EV -12.64%E -4.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -13.43%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-11 13:14
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -10.04%E -4.90%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.75%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-11 13:34
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.04%E -4.90%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.25%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-11 13:34
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.04%E -4.90%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.25%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-11 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.04%E -4.90%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.25%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-11 13:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 42.61%EV -11.36%E -5.62%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.22%EV -15.41%E -5.05%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.17%EV -16.27%E -5.51%K -8.34%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-11 13:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.93%EV -12.24%E -6.12%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -11.25%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.62%EV -12.86%E -4.19%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-11 13:18
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -12.24%E -6.12%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -14.03%E -4.52%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-11 13:19
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -12.24%E -6.12%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.80%E -5.60%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -14.85%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-11 13:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 43.51%EV -13.11%E -6.62%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.25%EV -15.41%E -5.05%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.25%EV -13.43%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-11 13:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 45.18%EV -18.82%E -10.17%K -22.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.96%EV -14.03%E -4.52%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.86%EV -14.85%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000%19.6%2026-10-11 13:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.