Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.59
assuming max odds 2.40
assuming max odds 3.21
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juve Stabia (Local): 28.35%; Pisa (Visit): 41.25%; Draw: 30.40%. For Juve Stabia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.59, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.76%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.98%EV +1.76%E +0.491%K +0.680%G +0.012% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.57%EV -3.89%E -1.67%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.45%EV -6.36%E -2.06%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-06 12:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -2.21%E -0.640%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -2.21%E -0.640%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.62%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.62%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 12:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -3.62%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -13.35%E -4.68%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 11:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -5.04%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.38%EV -5.12%E -2.23%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.04%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -5.12%E -2.23%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.04%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 12:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.04%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 12:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -5.04%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.31%E -3.49%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -5.04%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.62%EV -10.07%E -4.62%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -7.60%E -3.39%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.47%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 12:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.66%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.36%E -2.80%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.55%EV -2.40%E -0.749%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 12:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.46%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.12%E -2.23%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.46%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 12:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.46%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 12:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -6.46%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -12.44%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -6.46%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -12.44%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 12:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -7.88%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -11.31%E -5.26%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -12.44%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.09%EV -8.42%E -3.79%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 12:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.09%EV -8.42%E -3.79%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.33%EV -10.71%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.81%EV -0.999%E -0.416%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%EV -2.71%E -0.846%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 12:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.71%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -11.31%E -5.26%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 12:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.71%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 12:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -10.71%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.38%EV -13.37%E -6.37%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -14.87%E -5.31%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-06 12:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -2.71%E -0.846%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 12:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -2.71%E -0.846%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 12:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 12:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 12:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 12:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 12:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.69%EV -11.31%E -5.26%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -13.37%E -6.37%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.44%EV -15.44%E -7.53%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.49%EV -10.31%E -3.49%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -1.82%E -0.766%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -1.82%E -0.766%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -1.82%E -0.766%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -1.82%E -0.766%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -1.82%E -0.766%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -1.82%E -0.766%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -1.82%E -0.766%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -1.82%E -0.766%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -1.82%E -0.766%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -14.96%E -4.99%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -3.06%E -1.30%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -14.96%E -4.99%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.12%E -2.23%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 12:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -14.96%E -4.99%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.12%E -2.23%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -14.96%E -4.99%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.12%E -2.23%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -16.38%E -5.55%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.12%E -2.23%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 12:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -16.38%E -5.55%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -5.12%E -2.23%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -10.31%E -3.49%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -17.80%E -6.14%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.08%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -10.31%E -3.49%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -17.80%E -6.14%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -17.80%E -6.14%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.45%EV -20.63%E -7.37%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 39.11%EV -10.07%E -4.62%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.45%EV -14.87%E -5.31%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.61% | 0.4% | 2026-09-06 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 12:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.74% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.50% | 2.4% | 2026-09-06 12:55 |