Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Juve Stabia v Pisa

Inicio: 2026-09-06 13:02 UTC

Final: Juve Stabia 0–3 Pisa

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Juve Stabia (Local)

Predicción 28.35%3.53momio equitativo
EV +1.76%
Ventaja +0.491%
Kelly +0.680%
Crecimiento +0.012%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.98%28.55%28.29%30.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.163.103.5935.71%31.62%32.26%27.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pisa (Visitante)

Predicción 41.25%2.42momio equitativo
EV -0.999%
Ventaja -0.416%
Kelly -0.714%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.05%40.99%41.34%42.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.262.252.4048.78%44.24%44.44%41.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 30.40%3.29momio equitativo
EV -2.40%
Ventaja -0.749%
Kelly -1.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.68%30.45%30.37%32.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.013.053.2135.71%33.20%32.79%31.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Juve Stabia (Local): 28.35%; Pisa (Visitante): 41.25%; Empate: 30.40%. Para Juve Stabia (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.53. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.59, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.76%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 26.98%EV +1.76%E +0.491%K +0.680%G +0.012%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.57%EV -3.89%E -1.67%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.45%EV -6.36%E -2.06%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 12:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -2.21%E -0.640%K -0.901%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 12:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -2.21%E -0.640%K -0.901%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 12:35
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.62%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 12:35
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.62%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 12:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -3.62%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -13.35%E -4.68%K -7.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 11:19
Codere (IT)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -5.04%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.38%EV -5.12%E -2.23%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 12:35
DraftKings🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.04%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -5.12%E -2.23%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 12:35
Bovada🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.04%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:55
BetUS🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.04%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:55
SportsBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -5.04%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.31%E -3.49%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 12:35
Betclic (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -5.04%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.62%EV -10.07%E -4.62%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 12:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -7.60%E -3.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.47%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 12:45
1xBet🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 28.66%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.36%E -2.80%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.55%EV -2.40%E -0.749%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 12:50
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.46%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.12%E -2.23%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 12:35
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.46%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:39
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.46%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:34
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -6.46%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -12.44%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 12:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -6.46%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -12.44%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 12:45
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -7.88%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -11.31%E -5.26%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -12.44%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 12:35
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.09%EV -8.42%E -3.79%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 12:34
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.09%EV -8.42%E -3.79%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 12:35
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.33%EV -10.71%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.81%EV -0.999%E -0.416%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%EV -2.71%E -0.846%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 12:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.71%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -11.31%E -5.26%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 12:34
PlayUp🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.71%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 12:55
NetBet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -10.71%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.38%EV -13.37%E -6.37%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -14.87%E -5.31%K -8.26%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-06 12:54
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -2.71%E -0.846%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 12:54
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -2.71%E -0.846%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 12:54
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 12:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 12:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 12:50
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.69%EV -11.31%E -5.26%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 12:35
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 12:35
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 12:35
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -13.37%E -6.37%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-06 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.44%EV -15.44%E -7.53%K -14.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.49%EV -10.31%E -3.49%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-06 12:35
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -1.82%E -0.766%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 12:40
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -1.82%E -0.766%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 12:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -1.82%E -0.766%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 12:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -1.82%E -0.766%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 12:40
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -1.82%E -0.766%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 12:40
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -1.82%E -0.766%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 12:40
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -1.82%E -0.766%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 12:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -1.82%E -0.766%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 12:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -1.82%E -0.766%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 12:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -14.96%E -4.99%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -3.06%E -1.30%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 12:35
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -14.96%E -4.99%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.12%E -2.23%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 12:50
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -14.96%E -4.99%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.12%E -2.23%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 12:35
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -14.96%E -4.99%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.12%E -2.23%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 12:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -16.38%E -5.55%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.12%E -2.23%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 12:50
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -16.38%E -5.55%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -5.12%E -2.23%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -10.31%E -3.49%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -17.80%E -6.14%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.08%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -10.31%E -3.49%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -17.80%E -6.14%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-06 12:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -17.80%E -6.14%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-06 12:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.45%EV -20.63%E -7.37%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 39.11%EV -10.07%E -4.62%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.45%EV -14.87%E -5.31%K -8.26%G +0.000%17.3%2026-09-06 12:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.61%0.4%2026-09-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-09-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-09-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-09-06 12:55
Smarkets◎3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.50%2.4%2026-09-06 12:55